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Bi Fire 2

Climate-Fueled Fires Burn Maui and Big Island; Lives Lost

September 15, 2023/1 Comment/in Climate /by BeyondKona
UPDATE SEPT 15th, 2023:

The number of people who died in the fire that swept through Lahaina has dropped from 115 to 97, Maui Police Chief John Pelletier said Friday.  He also said the number of missing now stands at 31, down from an initial high of over 3,000 people.

PREVIOUSLY PUBLISHED: AUG. 27th

Maui Fire’s Missing-Person List Falls to 388 After FBI Vetting

  • List of missing was expected to shrink as duplicates removed
  • Death toll still 115 after check of Lahaina’s last buildings

The list of people who remain unaccounted for after Maui’s wildfire disaster dropped to 388, a significant decline from earlier estimates, after hundreds of individuals initially reported missing were found.

Maui County has released a list validated by the Federal Bureau of Investigation of those unaccounted for since the Aug. 8 wildfire tore through the seaside town of Lahaina. An additional 1,732 people who had been reported missing have been found safe and well as of late Thursday afternoon, the county said in a Thursday statement.

Search teams combing through the last unchecked buildings in Lahaina haven’t found the mass casualties many feared, Governor Green said earlier Thursday, offering a rare positive note in the wake of his state’s deadliest natural disaster.


Maui CopingMaui residents cope with loss and come together, as local government response stumbles.

Volunteers at a center in Napili-Honokowai, distributing supplies to those evacuated from Lahaina. Local Maui residents open their homes to Lahaina survivors and extended family members in signs that Hawaii’s Aloha spirit also survived the fire and loss.

Hawaii Gov. Josh Green said progress is being made to get displaced Lahaina residents into temporary housing. “Some individual residents are already in hotels, and  larger numbers in the coming days” Green said, adding there were 500 rooms the government was paying for.  Rental homes will also serve as temporary homes, the governor added. “Airbnb is going to offer us hundreds of typically short-term rentals in a longer term capacity, so we can put people into a place for months.”


As families face an agonizing wait for word on missing loved ones on Maui, the death toll from the fire is likely to rise. The fire-related death toll on Maui (Lahaina town) has risen to 111 as of Thursday, with more than 1,000 persons still unaccounted and missing. No other details are available.  Questions are now emerging about the Maui County government’s and Hawaii emergency early warning response. Absent any official warning, residents and tourists alike were forced to flee for their lives as winds whipped wildfires into a destructive inferno.

In one glaring example, none of the 80 warning sirens placed around Maui were activated by the island or state’s emergency management agencies as the fire bore down on the town of Lahaina, a spokesman for the Hawaii Emergency Management Agency, Adam Weintraub, said on Saturday. He stressed that the sirens alone would not have been a signal to evacuate but to seek more information.   Sen. Mazie Hirono (D-Hawaii) said there should be no excuses for warning sirens on Maui not sounding, but indicated that temporary housing and search-and-rescue efforts are a priority over accountability at the moment.


Lahaina Burn Map1

Lahaina Burn Map 2

Uncontrolled blazes fueled by drought and high winds tore through the historic town of Lahaina and other parts of the island of Maui this week, killing at least 111 people in what has called the deadliest wildfire in the state’s history.

Hawaii’s islands are covered with lush tropical forests, some of the wettest places on the planet. It once seemed to be an unlikely place to be scorched by fire. But in a warming world, extreme weather disasters can happen anywhere.

The inferno came so quickly that, to escape the smoke and flames, some Lahaina area residents ran into the ocean to escape the fire and where later rescued by the Coast Guard. The most concentrated damage appeared to be in Lahaina, once the royal capital of Hawaii and a major Maui vacation destination, now burned to the ground.

Neighboring Hawaii Island did not escape the same conditions which fueled property losses, but fortunately no lives were reported lost.

Lahaina BeforeLahaina, Maui: Before

Lahaina AfterLahaina, Maui: After

 

Lahaina Town, a historic and living monument to Hawaii’s Past

For many visitors, the town of Lahaina is a place to go for tropical beaches. But for the residents of Hawaii, it is a trove of the state’s rich cultural history.

The loss of Lahaina’s heritage museum, a landmark that housed artifacts from before the rest of the world knew Hawaii existed, is still being assessed.

Also,was the loss of town’s oldest building, the Baldwin Home, was occupied by the 19th-century physician who saved Maui from an epidemic of smallpox. Its central feature, a sprawling 150-year-old banyan tree, was planted to commemorate the arrival of Christian missionaries in 1873, now lost to fire.

On August 7, more than an hour before Maui authorities said the first fire erupted according to authorities, a security camera at the Maui Bird Conservation Center in the east Maui region of Upcountry, captured a bright flash in the woods. Soon after, parts of Maui burned to the ground and similar fires on Hawaii Island continue to threatened properties and towns on the north end of the island. Events which turned parts of Hawaii’s legacy into ashes are a testament to global weather and climate changes fueling unprecedented global heating and fires around the globe. It is also further proof that even in Hawaii, with its remote Pacific location, they is no escape from the global climate crisis now underway.

Climate-fueled and hurricane-driven wildfires that devastated the island of Maui, razing much of the historic district of Lahaina in only a matter of hours, provides further evidence that future climate-fueled events can strike without warning.  “We had no preparation, no warning, nothing,” said Theo Morrison, the executive director of the Lahaina Restoration Foundation, which manages more than a dozen historic sites in the town.

  • Hawaii Gov. Josh Green said at a news conference Saturday that the blaze was the result of a never-before-seen confluence of climate-related conditions and warned that it would take a long time for tourism and the community of West Maui to recover. 

Big Island, with big climate problems ahead

Rising temperatures, up 2 degrees Fahrenheit in Hawaii since 1950, have contributed to a decades-long trend of reduced rainfall. Reduced precipitation makes vegetation more prone to catching fire. The blazes this week happened in areas with moderate to severe drought.

Slowing global climate change is a must. But that will not be enough. Whatever we do now, in the next couple of decades, you’re going to have more and more dry, hot windy situations. Translation of knowledge to action is something that we have to invest in. Underlying dry conditions were exacerbated by strong winds tied to Hurricane Dora, a Category 4 storm that is moving across the Pacific hundreds of miles to the south. Experts also noted the spread of nonnative grasses, which are more flammable than indigenous plants.

Similar trends have made humid forests across the world more vulnerable in recent years. Small fires, often caused by human activity, can quickly become uncontrollable blazes as once again demonstrated in this latest round fires impacted the island state, but with one important development, lives lost.

“The fire hazards have gone way up,” said Josh Stanbro, the former chief resilience officer for Honolulu. “This is part of a long-term trend that is directly related to climate changes.”

Bi Fire 2  South Kohola, Hawaii Island (Maui in the distance)

Bi Fire 3South Kohola, Hawaii Island

Bi Fire 1

There are currently no uncontrolled wildfires on Hawaii Island being reported. For developing fire information, go to: Hawaii County Civil Defense Notifications to receive timely and essential alerts, and view the most recent Civil Defense Updates on the Hawaii County Website.


The Lahaina Fire, “Flash Drought” driven

The Maui fire was greatly intensified by high winds, caused by the combination of a strong high-pressure system to the north of the island and the powerful Hurricane Dora to the south, i.e., a Flash Drought.  Those same atmospheric forces worked together like an eggbeater, whipping winds with gusts of up to 80 miles per hour. Climate change has been predicted to intensify both high-pressure heat domes and tropical cyclones such as Dora.

According to NOAA, a Flash Drought intensifies rapidly due to changes in precipitation, temperature, wind, and solar radiation. These changes in the weather increase evapotranspiration and lower soil moisture.  Flash droughts can cause extensive damage to agriculture, economies, and ecosystems if they are not predicted and discovered early.

Climate change, as scientists have long anticipated, is making the weather more extreme and unpredictable.

This summer, we’re being taught the tragic lesson that we all need to prepare for “unlikely” disasters as well as familiar ones, and to look for risk in new places.  The deadly wildfires on Maui that gutted Lahaina were a by-produce of climate-fueled weather conditions and the surrounding Maui hillsides covered with nonnative, invasive grasses — originally planted on the island by humans — which burned explosively.

Those grasses surrounding Lahaina were so dry and flammable because the island, especially the area around Lahaina, conditions driven by a so-called “flash drought.” In late May, none of the island was unusually dry, according to the U.S. Drought Monitor. Today, the whole island is either abnormally dry or experiencing moderate to severe drought. Scientists have warned that flash droughts will occur more frequently because of climate change.

July was officially Earth’s hottest month on record.

Even in the Southern Hemisphere, where it’s winter, there have been unusual warming patterns. Scientists are worried about Antarctica’s unprecedented lack of sea ice growth. Parts of Chile and Argentina have also seen temperatures soar in the depths of their winter.

Canada is still fighting blazes through its worst wildfire season ever. By mid-July fires scorched more than 10 million hectares (25 million acres), an area about the size of Iceland, with no end to the burning expected anytime soon.

This is how much extreme heat is costing the US a year, according to President Biden. His Administration this week is seeking an additional $12 billion for disaster assistance, as the administration monitors wildfire devastation in Hawaii and peak hurricane season approaches.

https://www.beyondkona.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/BI-Fire-2.png 417 771 Bill Bugbee https://www.beyondkona.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/beyond-kona-logo.png Bill Bugbee2023-09-15 06:20:492023-09-15 15:54:03Climate-Fueled Fires Burn Maui and Big Island; Lives Lost
Kilauea Eruption Map

Kilauea summit (Halema’uma’u) latest eruption report

September 12, 2023/0 Comments/in Climate /by BeyondKona

Eruption Report September 2023 –

Kilauea Sept 2023 EruptionKilauea, one of the most active volcanoes in the world, began erupting Sunday after a two-month pause, displaying glowing lava that is a safe distance from people and structures in a national park on the Big Island.

The Hawaii Volcano Observatory previously reported the latest eruption was first observed in the afternoon at the summit of Kilauea.

The observatory said gases released by the eruption will cause volcanic smog downwind of Kilauea. People living near the park should try to avoid volcanic particles spewed into the air by the eruption, the observatory said.

The volcano’s alert level was raised to warning status and the aviation color code went to red as scientists evaluate the eruption and associated emissions hazards. On Sept. 12th, Sulfur Dioxide (SO2) emission rate from Kilauea had risen to nearly 49,000 tons per day, gassing Big Island Kona Coast residents who watched their skies and sunsets turn a smoggy gray.

Kona Skies Sunsets Trun Vog Gray 

 

Earlier in June, Kilauea erupted for several weeks, displaying fountains of red lava without threatening any communities or structures. Crowds of people flocked to the Big Island’s Hawaii Volcanoes National Park, which offered safe views of the lava.

The September 12th eruption began rather suddenly after a period of elevated seismic activity over the past month. Prior to that recently the volcano has been relatively quiet, until a tiltmeter detected a strong shift in ground terrain shortly before lava broke out.  Based on initial measurements, the new eruption appears more vigorous than the June eruption. Volcanologists tell us that start-stop eruption predictions are difficult at best to estimate. Locals often associate a famous line from a popular movie with Kilauea’s unpredictable eruption schedule,  …“I’ll be back”.

Kilauea lies east of Mauna Loa and is considered to be Earth’s most active volcano. It covers about one-seventh of the island of Hawaii (southeast) and rises to about 4,090 feet (1,250 metres) above sea level. Kilauea is also Hawaii’s second-largest volcano and its last “major” eruption in 2018 destroyed more than 700 homes and deactivated the Puna Geothermal Venture (PGV) energy operations located on the south-east flank of the volcano. PGV began re-supplying electricity to the Hawaiʻi Island grid in 2021, two and half years after the previous eruption. However, the state’s only geothermal energy operator PGV has since failed to achieve pre-eruption power production levels.

 


Eruption Report June 2023 –

The summit eruption at Kīlauea volcano on the Big island has paused.  Eruptive activity — which has been confined to Halemaʻumaʻu crater within the summit caldera at Kīlauea has resumed its non-eruptive state, with clear skies returning to Hawaii Island. — No unusual activity has been noted along the volcano’s East Rift Zone or Southwest Rift Zone, since June 19th, 2023.

Firey Cone1Kīlauea Erupts After a 3 Month Pause

HVO volcanologists observed an increase in earthquake activity and ground deformation hours prior to the eruption, suggesting the movement of magna beneath the surface of Kīlauea.

A magnificent display featuring mesmerizing fountains of vibrant, molten lava bursting hundreds of feet into the air began on June 7, 2023 at 4:44 a.m. within Halemaʻumaʻu crater.

Fiery Deluge Mesmerizes

According to USGS Hawaiian Volcano Observatory, the eruption was first detected through webcam images showing glowing presence at the summit in the early morning. This same webcam system is available for public viewing on the USGS web site 24×7, offering various live views of the eruption in real time – it’s impressive: https://www.youtube.com/usgs/live

Kilauea Carte Eruption1Opening phases of volcanic eruptions are generally dynamic, and Kilauea did not disappoint USGS scientists or the general public.

The largest lava fountain was consistently about 50 feet high; during the early phase of the eruption, with lava fountain bursts that reached at an estimated 200 feet in height as lava inundated much of the crater floor (an area of approximately 370 acres). By 8:00 a.m. on the morning of the eruption about 10 meters (33 feet) depth of new lava had been added to the crater floor. Lava fountain heights have decreased since the initial eruption onset, and as of this writing, are averaging between 20 and 30 feet high.

USGS forecasts are updated daily as to Kilauea’s eruption progress and volcanic gas emissions.  The initial Sulfur Dioxide and Carbon Dioxide volcanic emissions rate was measured on June 8th at 65,000 tons/day, but by June 12 emissions has risen to 11,000 tons/day, with prevailing winds driving emissions into West Hawaii and primarily impacting western Hawaii Island in the form of hazy skies, making it difficult to breath for many local island residents.

Kilauea Vog Map 1Vog is primarily a mixture of sulfur dioxide (SO2) gas and sulfate (SO4) aerosol. SO2 (invisible) reacts with oxygen and moisture in the air to produce SO4 aerosol (visible).

Sulfur Clouds

Sulfate aerosols are very small particles consisting of particulate matter less than 2.5 micrometers in diameter and are referred to as PM2.5.  Other sources of PM2.5 include vehicle exhaust and smoke from fires. Vog contains mostly SO2 and PM2.5, in contrast to urban, industrial, fossil fuel power plants, and other pollution sources, which also contain additional toxic contaminants, such as ozone and hydrocarbons.

Sulfur Clouds1Kilauea’s eruptive volcanic emissions, especially sulfur dioxide, can also turn local area skies into a strange yellow hazy tint, and when the tainted air comes in contact with cars and buildings. for example, it leaves a toxic residue or hazy coating on windows and can damage painted surfaces, including vehicles, and harmful to agriculture.

Kilauea’s eruptions are a wonderful reminder of the natural world’s majestic power which is so much greater than a tourist attraction, but at a price for Hawaii Island residents, and the rest of the state when the winds are right.So2 Graph1


Eruption Updates:

Halemaʻumaʻu Lava Lake Observations June 14th:

Activity continues to decrease. Fountaining is diminished on the southwestern Halemaʻumaʻu crater floor, with only a few small fountains remaining. The extent of active lava has retreated further such that all activity is now concentrated in the southwestern and central portions of Halemaʻumaʻu Crater.

An active lava lake is centered within the central area and is fed by a vent in its northeast corner. This feature is the “western” lake from prior eruptions that has been reactivated along with a smaller circular pool just southeast of the lake.

The vent on the southwest wall of the caldera continues to spatter and feed lava onto the westernmost part of the crater floor. The surface of the western active area has not risen since yesterday. All previously active lava features in the northern and eastern portions of the crater now appear to be stagnant.

https://www.beyondkona.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/Kilauea-Eruption-Map.png 564 740 Bill Bugbee https://www.beyondkona.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/beyond-kona-logo.png Bill Bugbee2023-09-12 05:48:592023-09-12 10:41:35Kilauea summit (Halema'uma'u) latest eruption report
Steve Homes 3

Geothermal (story update); the good, bad, and the ugly

August 27, 2023/3 Comments/in Climate /by Steve Holmes, Contributing Editor

Updated story supplement; originally Published June 2, 2023

In a recent announcement, the Department of Hawaiian Home Lands (DHHL) voted to investigate the potential development of geothermal energy sources on their lands. The DHHL decision was strongly influenced by Mike Kaleikini of Puna Geothermal Venture (PGV), a clear conflict of interest.

Part of the PGV argument is that DHHL would benefit from geothermal royalty payments, creating a new source of income for DHHL.

Geothermal development is inherently slow and high risk in terms of any potential success and return-on-investment. You really don’t know if you have a viable thermal resource until you actually spend money and drill research wells. PGV history of years of drilling occurred which has occured on on the East Rift Zone of Kilauea had been without success before a discrete pocket of fluids was found and Ormat Technologies was able to then step in and build a power plant. With the eruption of 2018, magma has since moved in at depth dramatically impacting the overall effectiveness of the geothermal resource.

Carving out a piece of the energy pie and reserving it for geothermal that may or may not happen after spending a whole lot of money on drilling wells hurts all consumers.

The current Stage 3 energy solicitations for renewables on Hawaii Island are constrained by giving a big reservation to future geothermal. Cheaper and cleaner energy projects aren’t given a chance to compete and get us off fossil fuels sooner than later. Central power plants like PGV also have “must run” contracts that force curtailments of cheaper and cleaner renewable alternatives which acts as a double whammy on ratepayers.

Solar and wind farms go in much faster and could also be sources of lease rent revenue for DHHL. Why wait around for a resource that might not never be viable? This is particularly true for smaller CBRE or community based renewable energy projects that are on a fast track process to deployment. With low risk, proven, clean energy options, as with solar plus storage, these projects would especially help Hawaiian families who are low to moderate income and would directly benefit from reduced energy bills — it’s a win-win with both revenue to DHHL and targeted to provide relief which geothermal cannot guarantee.

Hawaii has declared a Climate Emergency and public trust resources like our nearshore coastal waters are threatened. This threatens Hawaiians that rely on those resources for subsistence. We need to act fast and get off power plants that emit greenhouse gases and otherwise negatively impact Hawaii’s unique environment.

The recent fires on Maui and the Big Island have made it clear that climate change threatens us all. Droughts threaten our water supply. The future of our planet us at stake, so why would we wait around and put off moving ahead on wind and solar projects? Why give special treatment to geothermal developments that may or may not happen and that cost more?


Previously published June 2, 2023

Pgv Eruption Site Photo 2018

Puna Geothermal Venture (PGV) manages Hawaii’s longest operating and only geothermal power plant, temporarily closed in 2018 after a near miss from the lava flows from a major eruption by Hawaii’s most active volcano, Kilauea.  Prior to its closing, Hawaiian Electric reported that PGV supplied and fulfilled 31 percent of Hawaii Island’s electricity demand.

Geothermal energy has only a modest representation in Hawaii’s renewable energy portfolio, but strong support by backers of the energy source. In 2018, according to the state energy office, prior to PGV’s closure it supplied less than 3 percent of Hawaii’s total electricity production. At the time, future plans called for modest increases in geothermal, while solar remains the dominant clean energy source.

For decades, Hawaii’s sole geothermal power plant has been parked on top of an active rift zone of the most active volcano in the country. For PGV, their luck ran out with the 2018 eruption where a river of molten lava threatened its existence. Since then, PGV has struggled to restore power production in spite of extensive and on-going drilling. As of June 2023, PGV has still not fulfilled their power commitment (contract) levels to Hawaiian Electric (HELCO), and it has become increasingly clear that intruded magma at depth has impacted the discrete pocket of fluids that they rely on for power production.

While we can’t see down a mile into the ground, the mere fact that production and revenues remain down for PGV pretty much tells the whole story. The very notion that they might some day get up to 60 MW output (based their 2022 power provisioning negotiations with HELCO) seems highly speculative, and frankly stands in the way of meeting our renewable energy goals using other more reliable and readily available sources; solar, wind, storage energy options that don’t carry the geologic risk. It reserves a big piece of the energy pie for them.

During the time when PGV was down, utility power was supplemented from fossil fuel generation, a big step backward for the state, and Hawaii Island more specifically. The State of Hawaii has declared a climate emergency and set decarbonization targets that require faster action than just the 2045 goal of 100% renewables. We have choices on the Big Island other than geothermal like more wind and solar. Recently, Waikoloa Solar came onto the grid with 30 MW of production plus battery storage at under 10 cents per kWh – a substantial energy savings back to ratepayers.

The Social Costs of Geothermal, and …Resistance is Futile

Prior to the Kilauea eruption of 2018, Hawaii state energy office stated that 17 percent of the of Hawaii Island’s electricity was produced by the Puna Geothermal Venture (PGV) plant operations on the island.

Since the 2018 Kilauea eruption and PGV’s closure, Hawaiian Electric said it has used a mix of fossil fuels, solar, wind and hydropower to generate power without any issues or outages as the result of the PGV geothermal suspension of power production.

Pgv WellsThe PGV power plant, Puna Geothermal Venture, began commercial operation 25 years ago despite objections from local residents who are concerned by the company’s non-stop geothermal drilling and operations. The release of geothermal fluids and toxic hydrogen sulfide emissions, direct side effects of the company’s operations are key concerns of nearby residents. Recently, HELCO has proposed increasing the capacity charges for PGV under the new contract which will impact savings projections as they no longer receive the avoided cost of oil. Consumers islandwide would be impacted.

On May 3, 2018 earth fissures opened inside and around the Leilani Estates subdivision near the PGV plant, following hundreds of earthquakes over the first two days of May. The threat of possible toxic hydrogen sulfide gas releases and explosions at the geothermal power facility led the County to order preemptive well shutdowns and moving the storage of about 60,000 gallons of highly flammable and toxic pentane, a chemical used in the heat exchanger process.

Shortly after the 2018 volcanic eruption of Kilauea covered a large area of Puna, former State Sen. Russell Ruderman, admitted at the time that he has been protesting geothermal energy for 30 years. He described the eruption and impact on geothermal plant operations as a “triple whammy” of issues associated with PGV; 1) the toxicity of the geothermal steam, 2) the geologic instability of the area where the plant resides, and 3) the proximity to residents of the area. “Even if you don’t know anything more than that, it’s obviously not the place to put any critical infrastructure,” Ruderman said.

The main community complaints to PGV energy operations are in a word “drilling”.  What at times are around-the-clock drilling operations by PGV are for the PGV’s residential neighbors more than a just an occasional nuisance; noise, toxic gas emissions to name just two, are ongoing threats to the local community.

For PGV the problem of costly drilling operations can be summed up in two words; geothermal brine.  Geothermal brine was the power source for PGV, which results in a variety of well problems including geothermal well and line plugging, reduced steam flow, and reduced power generation capacity.  Altogether, the operation requires repeated drilling of new replacement wells.

According the company, plant operations resumed at a highly reduced level in November 2020 and to date power production remains far below minimum power production requirements under its HELCO (utility) power agreement.

Last year, PGV announced that it expected a power output goal of 46 MW in Phase 1 and then to 60 MW in Phase 2, to be achieved in power output to the grid by replacing 12 operating power-generating units with as many as four upgraded power-generating units, operating on the existing grounds of the current facility. In the meantime, PGV at community meetings has indicated output at or under 25 MW.

On the road to fulfilling PGV’s current plans for operational expansion that will result in higher power supply (capacity) agreement with the utility, is that the company must file an Environmental Impact Statement (EIS) with public agency stakeholders. The EIS serves as a public disclosure document with Hawaii County serving as the official accepting agency, and with the state Public Utility Commission oversight. The PUC  has already given PGV its preliminary approval to the company’s expansion plans in the form of a new Power Purchase Agreement with HELCO, and one that industry observers believe will be rubber stamped by the stakeholders advancing the company’s 2023 expansion plans.

Show Me the Money

Pgv MapEven today, the East Rift Zone is seeing inflation as new magma is intruded below the surface. A very dynamic situation. Something PGV’s investors will need to consider as drilling is neither cheap nor results guaranteed. Investors will be needed to spend even more on PGV to replace existing power generation much less the funds for expansion. More on drilling, too. This uncertainty and risk goes beyond just nervous investors as ratepayers are paying for expensive fossil fuel generation in the meantime.

PGV is currently receiving the avoided cost of oil and is in contract renegotiation talks, but HELCO is proposing higher capacity charges to payback drilling costs. With no end in sight on the need for even more drilling, this changes the economics. Geothermal becomes even less competitive. The new PGV contract has a “must run” provision that forces the grid (and ratepayers) to take their less than clean power over potentially cheaper and cleaner sources through what the industry calls “curtailment”. Curtailment impacts lower cost and clean energy sources solar and wind to have reduced revenues causing higher bid prices on new contracts which, of course, also gets passed onto ratepayers. A double whammy for Hawaii Island residents and commerce.

One of the utility arguments for calling geothermal energy “firm” power ignores the impact of an active volcano. It also ignores the reality that production has still not been fully restored to pre-eruption levels or that more activity could take them out again at any time, and an increase in production levels (capacity) as a part of new contract with the utility seem unreliable at best. Not exactly a definition of “firm” or reliable power.

Back to the Future

HELCO likes PGV because it fits the old central power plant model where they get revenue from transmission and distribution costs that get passed on to ratepayers. PGV, due to it’s remote location has higher line losses or reduced efficiency that also get passed on to ratepayers. Decentralized power generation is more cost effective.

The whole history of geothermal energy development should tell us that the risk is real and that many of the wells drilled historically were capped as non-productive.

The state’s geothermal resource maps are very misleading at best, or worse fully unsubstantiated. The massive 250 MW Kahaualea Geothermal project that was supposed to solve all of Hawaii’s greater energy problems with a deep water cable to Oahu was interrupted before it began with a 30 year long volcanic eruption.

We should be learning something here. Planning for and betting on a major source of power generation for Hawaii in the form of geothermal is not welcome or wise. The geothermal booster club on Oahu needs to fly over to the Big Island to better understand the geology. Flying in a helicopter with scientists back in 2018 over PGV with a raging river of lava on one side and fountaining ground cracks on the other should have been a wake-up call, but somehow geothermal boosters just see it as a temporary setback and don’t see it as a continuing threat.

https://www.beyondkona.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/Steve-Homes-3.jpg 352 352 Bill Bugbee https://www.beyondkona.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/beyond-kona-logo.png Bill Bugbee2023-08-27 06:56:462023-08-27 13:17:28Geothermal (story update); the good, bad, and the ugly
He Company Logo

Hawaiian Electric stock plunges (story update); compounded by lawsuits and public outrage

August 25, 2023/0 Comments/in Climate /by BeyondKona

Investors Sue Hawaiian Electric For ‘Misleading’ Them About Potential Liability For Wildfire

Breaking News – Aug. 25, 2023

Hawaiian Electric faces another lawsuit in a mounting set of legal actions against the Hawaii-based utility.  Latest is an investor-lawsuit which joins a growing list of lawsuits which threaten utility’s future.

On Thursday, investors filed suit against Hawaiian Electric Co.’s parent company, Hawaiian Electric Industries, as well as several of its key current and former executives, alleging that the company and its top leaders violated federal securities laws.

The investor class-action suit, filed in U.S. District Court in California, seeks unspecified damages from the company and those leaders

It states that they made “materially false and misleading statements” in their filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, and that they failed to disclose to investors that the company’s wildfire prevention protocols were “inadequate.”

Specifically, the suit names former HEI President and CEO Constance Lau, who stepped down in January 2022, as well as her successor in that role, Scott Seu.

It also names the company’s former executive vice president and treasurer, Gregory Hazelton, and Hazelton’s successor, Paul Ito, who now serves as HEI executive vice president, treasurer and chief.

HECO representatives said in a statement Thursday that “we are still reviewing the complaint and have no further comment at this time.”


Hawaiian Electric is accused of removing evidence that its power lines may have started Maui blaze in violation of national guidelines

  • Hawaiian Electric, which is facing at least nine lawsuits linked to the fires, allegedly removed evidence from a scene close to where the blaze broke out
  • The company took equipment including powerlines from a substation before investigators could comb the scene, it is claimed
  • Lawsuits against the company say it failed to switch off power before the fires broke out, despite weather conditions which meant lines could spark a blaze 

Investigators from the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives (ATF) – which investigates fire and arson-related crimes – arrived in Maui last week to help with the probe into how the deadly infernos began.  But by the time they arrived, utility crews had cleared equipment including damaged power lines from a key scene of the fires and moved it to a warehouse, according to a Washington Post report. The scene, a power substation Lahainaluna Road, is close where the fires are believed to have started


Hawaiian Electric, the state’s largest utility, providing power to 95% of the state’s residents, and has seen its stock price fall nearly 68% since the near total fire destruction of Maui’s fabled the town of Lahaina and lives lost.

Stock market attention quickly turned to the utility as the possible cause of the fires on Maui, partly because of videos and photos posted online by residents appeared to show power lines starting fires.  Investors quickly reacted to the bad news that the utility was facing a class-action lawsuit and as the fire death toll continues to climb which each passing day.

The class action lawsuit against the utility alleges that… Maui’s devastating wildfires were caused by the utility’s energized power lines that were knocked down by strong winds, and the deadly fire which contributed to the confirmed loss to date of over 114 lives, with another 1,000 plus lives still unaccounted. Maui officials did confirm on Friday (8-18) that the wildfire death toll has risen to at least 114, while the search for hundreds of missing people continues.

The Lahaina fire was one of four that broke out on the island on Aug. 8. Gov. Green said Friday that at least 2,200 structures have been destroyed and another 500 damaged in the blaze at an estimated cost of about $6 billion.

Maui Fire Grid Repair1Image originally published, New York Times

Earlier this week, the law firm of Singleton Schreiber filed a lawsuit against the company alleging that Hawaiian Electric’s power lines ignited the Maui fires.  The suit specifically alleges that Hawaiian Electric Industries “chose not to deenergize their power lines during the High Wind Watch and Red Flag Warning conditions for Maui before the Lahaina Fire started,” despite knowing the risks of sparking a fire in those conditions.

  • It has not yet been determined officially what started the wildfires on Maui.  In the lead-up to the fires last week, the National Weather Service in Honolulu warned. at least four times. in a series of tweets that dry conditions and strong winds posed a serious threat of fires in some areas of Hawaii.
  • According to the Western Fire Chiefs Association, electrical systems are one of the most common causes of wildfires. Despite this, Hawaiian Electric (HE) did not enforce a public safety power shutoff, a temporary pause of service to certain areas due to increased fire risk. These shutoffs are generally initiated by utility companies based on weather conditions.

“Had these utility companies handled their equipment properly, the people of Lahaina would have been better prepped and prepared to escape the flames,” Paul Starita, Singleton Schreiber’s lead Hawaii attorney, said in a statement.

Preliminary numbers from research firm CoreLogic put the residential property damages at $1.3 billion, but Hawaii Gov. Josh Green estimates the losses “approach $6 billion.”


Utility Financial and Liability Risks

In terms of financial and liability risks facing Hawaiian Electric, one significant differences between Hawaii and California laws governing utilities is that Hawaii does not apply the legal doctrine of inverse condemnation to utilities — a policy which considers the utility liable for damages caused by their equipment whether or not they were found to be at fault for it. However, Hawaiian Electric could still be found to have been negligent as investigations into the fires unfold, Moody’s said.

Like most other utilities, Hawaiian Electric doesn’t maintain insurance for most of its transmission and distribution system so will need to recover costs related to the fire through regulatory support from the Hawaii Public Utilities Commission (and eventually ratepayers), according to Moody’s.

The lawsuit filed by Singleton Schreiber in the Second Circuit Court of State of Hawaii, District of Lahaina contends that Hawaiian Electric knew that de-energizing power lines is a proven method to prevent wildfires, but “they either left their powerlines energized or, after [de-energizing] them, re-energized them too soon.”  The lawsuit further alleges that issues within Hawaiian Electric’s system and processes, including that it had exposed power lines in vegetated areas, didn’t properly maintain tension in the lines to prevent them from sagging, and didn’t properly implement vegetation management programs, all of which contributed to the utility’s failure to prevent the grid and potential contribution to the Maui fires and ignition.

Hawaiian Electric’s financial and cost recovery risks tied to the devastating wildfires in Maui that led to lives lost, and which affected more than 2,200 structures, according to a report issued by Moody’s Investors Service, resulted in the S&P Global earlier this week, and that the utility’s parent company, Hawaiian Electric Industries had been downgraded to junk status in terms of its outstanding debt.

https://www.beyondkona.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/HE-company-logo.png 80 128 Bill Bugbee https://www.beyondkona.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/beyond-kona-logo.png Bill Bugbee2023-08-25 08:03:252023-08-25 08:20:50Hawaiian Electric stock plunges (story update); compounded by lawsuits and public outrage
bill bugbee beyondkona

Fossil Fuel Interests; organized, powerful, influential

August 19, 2023/5 Comments/in Climate /by Bill Bugbee, Publisher

 An Open Letter – updated


I received an email earlier today from a friend, a fellow full-time Hawaii resident, and community activist.

She expressed her concerns regarding a recent Wall Street Journal article, and her inability to access the full article and post a comment.

She asked if I would respond to the article. As tempting as the request was, I too do not subscribe to the WSJ or for that matter any other Murdoch publication or media outlet for reasons all too obvious to many Beyondkona subscribers. So I will attempt fulfill her request with the following response…


Wsj Article


Today’s media generally falls into three categories:

  1. investigative reporting; with the goal to reveal and educate the public on issues of importance
  2. reporting & entertainment co-mingled, generally with an issue and/or agenda contained within the factual content
  3. propaganda, in the name of news and designed to serve an audience generally predisposed as in “my mind is made up”; no room for counter opinions or thought

For the record, we consider BeyondKona’s reporting and content to fall within the first category, but at times it may slip into the second.

My friend’s concerns are more than just valid, they are spot-on as some might say.  The WSJ article used the tragedy in Lahaina to elevate and conflate its anti-clean energy / pro-fossil fuel agenda by loosely connecting the Maui fires with President Biden’s clean energy policies (btw, the Republican party doesn’t have one, expect to slow or stop any American-led meaningful transition to a clean energy economy).

If Hawaiian Electric’s grid management practices were purely incidental in terms of a potential connection as a source of the Maui fires, or when and if such a connection were to be proven to be false, even then WSJ article which asserts a Maui fires-grid connection, Wis really the fault the of Biden Administration’s clean energy policies, not the utility’s grid management practices, it is still a leap of faith to accept their reasoning.


The forces behind fossil fuels forever

The fossil fuel sector, as a global industry is extremely wealthy, and certainly embedded in the global economy and within governments around the world. In 2022, this group of stakeholders, adjusted for inflation, receives each year (according the World Bank and IMF reports), in excess of 6.5 Trillion dollars (USD) in global taxpayer subsidies.

Oil, Gas, Coal producers, and other FF stakeholders, include, but not limited to:

1- Saudis, joined by the Gulf oil states

2- US-Euro, and Canadian Oil-Gas interests

3- Russia, which is a master at influencing digital and conventional media outlets and minds

4- FF agents; from PACS and their money and influence directed at media channels and digital megaphone outlets (e.g., WSJ) — NPR reported earlier in the week how FF money is now pouring into TikTok for kids, brainwashing the young as to the all-saving role fossil fuels play in their lives as they grow up — insidious

5- Political Agents: the entire Republican Party to start with, and select oil-gas-coal state Democrats; e.g.; Joe Manchin

These are examples of the powerful influences that impact societal thought, policy, politics, and media from the traditional to the digital world; the internet to social media outlets.

The FF influence machine is now focused on climate responses impacting the energy status quo, as in delaying clean energy implementation actions, creating doubt where none exists, while obstructing the intent and delaying any meaningful transformational energy market reforms — everything from energy production to sales and demand.

In short, the fossil fuel sector sees clearly — a growing market reality that they face: death by thousand cuts.  Like a wounded animal, Gas, Oil and Coal interests are responding with all means at their disposal, which by any measurement is substantial.

So the WSJ article is not surprising considering the source and the “all hands on deck” Wall Street panic now underway within the fossil fuel economic sector as to their future on hold on energy markets.

It is not difficult to connect the dots between these forces and the increasing all-out, but subtle attacks on the clean energy sector. Shell’s CEO in a recent BBC, shocked viewers with his predictions that oil and gas will continue to be around and vital to the energy economy for the foreseeable.  Shell’s Chief Executive Officer, Wael Sawan told the BBC audience he in fact foresees increases in global demand for fossil fuels through the 21st century, not less to little as many expect.

The spread of climate policies across the developed world, and the economic response to changes these policies promote are directed towards economic, climate, and overall societal benefit factors which are difficult to deny, even for big oil.

But we are also talking about an extremely wealthy and powerful fossil fuel sector. Fossil energy sector has been a fundamental driver of the technological, social, economic and development progress which has followed for over 150 years.   Fossil fuels (coal, oil, gas) have, and continue to, play a dominant role in global energy systems. But the negative impacts long since have the point sustainability or balance with the Earth’s biosphere, and most specifically climate impacts and its fundamental modification as greenhouse gas emission continue to rise and levels already stored in the atmosphere, ocean, and soil when burned they produce the lasting effects pf carbon dioxide (CO2), the largest driver of global climate change. Another liability fossil fuels carry with their use is as a major contributor to local air pollution, which has been linked to millions of premature deaths each year.

Yet, oil and gas stakeholders have a long history of starting and feeding misinformation wars. Most notable, initializing global warming denial campaigns dating back to the early 1980’s. With reality of science and common observations, the industry outlets have switched to a new information strategy in their messaging; from denial-to-delay. This no happening in guise of cautious climate team player influencing global reforms and energy policy. This strategy switch is now focused on slowing down to a crawl any meaningful transition to a clean energy economy initiatives in commence, policy, and regulatory oversight. Fossil fuels interests are increasingly focused on messaging fundamentals to discredit proven clean energy solutions they neither own or control, while promoting wild and often impractical ways with any accountability towards addressing climate issues they help to create, and continue to enable.

  • On whole, the future of fossil fuels and their replacement by clean zero emissions energy alternatives is well underway, out of the lab and now mainstream in both electricity and transportation sectors — and that is laying the foundation for a global transition to economic and societal electrification.

At the same time, the broader public is now beginning to embrace the science of climate change (the facts increasingly are just to difficult to ignore or deny).  Many clean energy replacement solutions are already in place, and their clean energy cost performance and reliability is now gaining marketplace momentum within the electricity energy sector.  Yes, there is, and always will be, a subset of society beliefs or lifestyle reaffirming a mantra of “my mind is made up, don’t confuse me with facts”  … but that entrenched minority will not and cannot hold back the tide of change now underway, whether it is the right thing to do or more cost effective. The end result will be the same — the slowing and eventual balance of greenhouse gas emissions being released into the global environment.


IRA to the Rescue

For the fossil fuel sector, right now there is one policy that generates clear response, that is President Biden’s highly successful (so-called) Inflation Reduction Act or IRA, a more appropriate title could have been Clean Energy Act. The few brave Republicans in the Senate needed to pass the bill insisted on a bill title that would be less telling, providing political cover, and was certainly less innocuous to their party’s fossil fuel benefactors.

The IRA bill’s first birthday since its enactment on August 16, 2022 was celebrated outside the fossil fuel sector. The bill’s success has been undeniable s based on its clear-cut objectives, and the fulfillment of objectives based on American ingenuity and the Country’s historic manufacturing prowess. It is a win-win for the nation and the planet.

The IRA’s large and lasting tax credits and subsidies are focused on clean electricity (from wind, solar, nuclear, geothermal, and battery energy storage), coupled with tax credits for electric vehicles. In less than a year, the IRA prompted investment in a massive national buildout of battery and EV manufacturing across the states.

  • Nearly 80 major clean energy manufacturing facilities have been announced, an investment equal to the previous seven years combined, according to the American Clean Power Association.
  • The legislation has already created 170,000 clean energy jobs and is projected to create some 1.5 million jobs over the next decade, while significantly cutting the nation’s carbon emissions.
  • The legislation is already shifting the production of critical clean energy components away from China and into the United States.

While the biggest impacts will begin in 2024 and 2025, there have been more than 270 new clean energy projects announced since its passage, with investments totaling some $132 billion, according to the Bank of America.

Roughly half of those investment dollars are going to electric vehicles and batteries, while the rest are going into clean and renewable energy sectors e.g., solar, wind, and batteries. These clean and sustainable energy investments are expected to be generate over 86,000 jobs, including 50,000 jobs related to BEVs.

Earlier this week, Moody’s said the legislation is likely to support growth in gross domestic product, productivity, and innovation.

“Over the past year, there have also been signs that the IRA legislation is now contributing to a surge in clean energy manufacturing and related industries such as semiconductors, and factoring into companies’ investment decisions, including in the auto, utilities and oil and gas sectors,” Moody’s said.

https://www.beyondkona.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/02/bill-bugbee-beyondkona.jpg 555 802 Bill Bugbee https://www.beyondkona.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/beyond-kona-logo.png Bill Bugbee2023-08-19 13:54:202023-08-20 10:57:18Fossil Fuel Interests; organized, powerful, influential
Frogs Boiling

Our Ocean’s Dire Message

August 8, 2023/0 Comments/in Climate /by BeyondKona

The world’s Oceans are the hottest they have been in recorded history, and by a wide margin. A human-driven climate crisis is to blame.  From the Atlantic to the Pacific  to Antarctica, record water temperatures are forcing scientists to grapple with how global heating is warming the oceans, often in unpredictable and extreme ways, and with implications for the entire planet.  Hawaii’s ocean thermal shield is not exempt from these global climate changes.

The average temperature of the world’s oceans spiked to 70 degrees Fahrenheit in April, the highest readings since records began.

The following NOAA graph demonstrates just how much the daily average of sea surface temperatures are now historically out of synch. The light gray lines represent each corresponding year’s ocean surface temperatures, while the dotted dark gray line represents temperature the average from 1991-2020 and the blue line is this current year rise in temperature.

Some of this year’s warmth can be attributed to El Niño, a natural climate pattern that began in July and is linked to marine heat waves. But the underlying cause of the heat is human-driven global warming.

Ocean Temp Rise1

It’s hot all over the world right now, with record heat waves searing three continents during July, which was Earth’s hottest month in recorded history. But it’s not just the current high temperatures on land that are making the oceans so hot.

Sea surface temperatures have been rising since at least the early 20th century, when humans began pumping many more greenhouse gases like carbon dioxide into the atmosphere.

Oceans have absorbed almost all of the greenhouse gases (primarily CO2) from human-driven activity, which are now fueling the planetary heat-up.

…see in the graphic below:

Ocean Temp Rise 2

Water has a much higher heat capacity than land, meaning it can absorb large amounts of energy with only a slight increase in temperature. But after many decades of cumulative heat, we’re now starting to see a big shift.

Gregory Johnson, an oceanographer at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, called this year’s temperatures “astonishing.” The oceans have “been doing us a big service by delaying global warming considerably,” he told Elena, “but it comes at a cost.”   

Cause and effect

As oceans store more heat, they expand, contributing to sea level rise. Warmer ocean temperatures also provide more fuel for tropical cyclones and other extreme weather events which Hawaii remains ill-prepared to address.  Much of the recent increase in ocean temperatures is shocking, but not unexpected, according to climate data projections and previous scientific forecasts.

It bears repeating — if we continue to pump greenhouse gases into the atmosphere at roughly our current rate, which is likely, the world’s oceans will continue to heat up unabated with escalating consequences.  July’s global average sea surface temperature falls within that expected range, though at the higher end of the temperature projections in the following graph:

Global Sea Temp Rise 3


Alarm Bells Are Ringing All Over the World

Last month, a buoy off the coast of Florida recorded a stunning reading of 101.1 degrees Fahrenheit, or just over 38 Celsius, a possible world record. And those temperatures are having an immediate and deadly effect on one of the world’s must crucial ecosystems.  An increase in temperature between one or two degrees Celsius over several weeks can force corals to expel the algae living in their tissues. The algae are what makes corals colorful, so this process is called bleaching. Algae are also the main source of energy for corals. If temperatures remain high and algae doesn’t return, the corals die.

Approximately 44% of the global ocean recently experienced marine heat waves, according to the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

Extreme water temperatures are responsible for coral bleaching and harmful algal blooms, among other impacts. One of the most notorious marine heat waves, known as “The Blob,” hit waters off North America’s west coast in the mid-2010s, decimating populations of Pacific cod, seabirds and salmon.

Marine mitigation efforts shoveling sand against an incoming tide

Between 2016 and 2017, an enormous bleaching event caused the Great Barrier Reef, the largest living structure on Earth, to lose half of its corals, at the same time, Hawaii’s prized island reef systems suffered significant coral die-off in 2016 from Hawaii Island to Kauai and beyond.  A quarter of all marine life depends on corals. Many of these species are a major source of food for millions of people, especially in poor countries. Corals also protect coasts from sea level rise, support tourism industries around the world and serve as an early warning system for other marine life.

Researchers are studying how some species are migrating to cooler environments. They’re also trying to find corals that can withstand heat stress so they can one day create tougher reefs. However, the best attempts to rehabilitate corals have met considerable obstacles and limited success as ocean temperatures continue to rise.

A key system of ocean currents could collapse this century

The mighty network of ocean currents that shapes the climate around the North Atlantic is called the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, or AMOC. The last time it slowed down, 12,800 years ago, it seems to have plunged Europe into a deep cold for over a millennium.  “There is something happening, and it’s out of the ordinary,” one scientist research said. “Something that wouldn’t have happened if it weren’t for us humans.”   
Oceans have dampened the effects of climate change for decades by absorbing most of the heat we unleashed. But now they’re sounding the alarm, loudly.

Scientific investigations are revealing just how quickly things are changing in the oceans.
Antaractic Meldown 2023A new study shows an ancient ice sheet retreated at a startling 2,000 feet per day, shedding light on how quickly ice in Antarctica could melt and raise global sea levels in today’s warming world.

In the past, one of the fastest retreat rates detected for a glacier was at Pope Glacier in West Antarctica, a smaller glacier that’s very close to the enormous Thwaites Glacier, nicknamed the “doomsday glacier” because of its relatively large melting contribution to sea level rise. During a period in 2017, based on satellite calculations, Pope Glacier retreated at a speed of about 105 feet (32 meters) per day. That’s quite fast — but still nothing like the rates of as much as 2,000 feet per day, the study found for the Eurasian ice sheet.

It’s winter in Antarctica, but sea ice isn’t forming like it should: There are about a million fewer square miles of ice than expected. “This year is really different,” one expert told our colleagues Delger Erdenesanaa and Leanne Abraham. “It’s a very sudden change.” 
Some researchers suspect that we are finally seeing the effects of the slowly but steadily warming oceans on Antarctica’s previously resilient sea ice. That ice also serves as a protective, frozen moat — shielding the continental ice sheet and its glaciers, which have already been destabilized by climate change, from the warmer ocean and the eroding force of wind and waves.
Scientists monitor ice sheet retreat rates to better estimate contributions to global sea level rise. Antarctica and Greenland have lost more than 6.4 trillion tons of ice since the 1990s, boosting global sea levels by at least 0.7 inches (17.8 millimeters). Together, the two ice sheets are responsible for more than one-third of total sea level rise.The amount of ice Antarctica loses to the ocean is one of the biggest factors in determining sea level rise.
“Sea ice is sensitive to warming temperatures — a small change from just below to just above freezing temperatures is the difference between ice and ocean. So, it is an early indicator of change in the environment,” Walt Meier, senior research scientist at the National Snow and Ice Data Center at the University of Colorado

By Sea and by Land, We Are Cooking the Planet, and Ourselves with it

July 2023 will go down as the hottest month on record across the globe, and perhaps the hottest in at least 120,000 years, according to climate scientists.

During this sweltering month for the planet, countless daily, monthly and all-time record high temperatures were reached in multiple regions, often concurrently.

Global Max Temps Summer 2023A rash of intense heat domes — zones of high pressure sprawled across the northern hemisphere — plagued Asia, southern Europe and northern Africa, North America and much of the tropics including the Caribbean. Extreme heat was even observed on several occasions across the southern hemisphere, where it is the middle of winter.

China registered an all-time high temperature for the country of 126 degrees (52.2 degrees Celsius), while the July 16 high of 128 degrees (53.3 Celsius) in Death Valley, Calif., was two degrees shy of the highest reliably measured temperature on Earth. Numerous countries surpassed 122 degrees (50 Celsius) for highs. In the Middle East, the heat index reached 152 degrees (66.7 Celsius), near the limit of human survival.

In some cases, daily heat records have been strung together into record-long streaks, including 31 straight days reaching 110 degrees (43.3 Celsius) or higher in Phoenix, 44 days at or above 100 degrees (37.8 Celsius) in El Paso and 46 straight days with a heat index over 100 degrees (37.8 Celsius) in Miami.

July is typically the hottest month of the year in the northern hemisphere. Add in a developing El Niño, the cyclical warming of the tropical Pacific Ocean that adds heat to the atmosphere, temperatures leaped to new heights in many areas. Furthermore, human-caused climate change is making heat waves more frequent, intense, larger and longer-lasting.

Since early summer, multiple heat domes have spread across large portions of the northern hemisphere, including four during July that baked the southern U.S. and northern Mexico, southern Europe and northern Africa, Asia and the Atlantic Ocean. Records for extreme warmth were set basically all over the globe, on land and over the oceans. The heat was particularly intense in East Asia, southern Europe into North Africa, Canada and America, as well as the Caribbean.
https://www.beyondkona.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/10/Frogs-boiling.jpg 314 453 Bill Bugbee https://www.beyondkona.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/beyond-kona-logo.png Bill Bugbee2023-08-08 15:02:032023-08-10 06:45:47Our Ocean’s Dire Message
Radioactive Sign

A Modern Day Nuclear Legacy; first the Fukushima Meltdown, now Radioactive Ocean Dumping

July 25, 2023/2 Comments/in Climate /by BeyondKona

Japan To Dump Millions of Tons of Nuclear Wastewater: Hawaii in the crosshairs

BeyondKona first reported April 24, 2021 (story link above) on Japan’s Tepco announced intentions to engage in multiple controlled releases of highly radioactive wastewater into the Pacific Ocean, and near the site of the Fukushima nuclear plant disaster of 2011.

Fukushima wastewater contains among over 50 radioactive elements, including plutonium isotopes considered to be one of, if not the most toxic, element known to humankind and exclusively created by humans and not by nature.

The Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant meltdown in 2011 contained substantial releases of plutonium 239 which has a radioactive half-life of 24,110 years (the forever factor) and plutonium 240 which carries with it a half-life 6,561 years – also a forever radioactive and highly toxic element to humankind, now forever introduced into the Pacific Ocean — and certainly much more alarming than the self-proclaimed “careful and concerned” Japanese power utility would led its domestic audience and the world to believe.

Previously reported, 84 percent of water held at Fukushima contains concentrations of radioactive materials higher than legal limits allow to be dumped.  Among the deadly isotopes still in the Tepco wastewater discharges are cesium-137, strontium-90, cobalt-60, ruthenium, carbon-14, tritium, iodine-129, plutonium isotopes 239 and 240, and more than 54 more radioactive elements.

Fukshima Radioactive WastewaterThe implied Tepco argument and focus has been on the release of cesium-137 and its 30 year toxic lifespan into the marine ecosystem and food chain. The utility argues that its radioactive waste dumping activities are benign to the environment (meaning people, fish, and the marine ecosystem).

The utility’s public reporting focus on the 30 year toxic lifespan of cesium-137, and in the tone of its alright – no worries argument just doesn’t hold water, and further fails the truth omission test as to the less comforting reality of 6,500 – 24,110 half-life years of the plutonium elements within Tepco’s toxic wastewater presently, and planned for ocean dumping of radioactive water releases.

The cancerous outcomes radioactive wastewater releases will have on fish and people further up the food chain remains fully unqualified and unknown by the utility and Japanese government. The current wait and see attitude as to the radioactive consequences this dumping is unacceptable by any measurement of common sense.

The black rockfish caught in the ocean on 18 May 2023 by plant operator Tokyo Electric Power Company (Tepco) were found to have 18,000 becquerels per kilogram of cesium-137, compared with the legal maximum level of 100 becquerels per kg. allowed.  Plutonium and other toxic radioactive wastewater elements in the ocean releases have so far not been publicly reported by the utility or government.

We do know this much, when asked about public concerns over radioactive water discharges in the Pacific Ocean, a Tepco official and spokesperson reiterated that the company was confident that “the impact on the public and environment will be minuscule”.

 

https://www.beyondkona.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/radioactive-sign.png 538 539 Bill Bugbee https://www.beyondkona.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/beyond-kona-logo.png Bill Bugbee2023-07-25 11:38:262023-07-26 05:48:59A Modern Day Nuclear Legacy; first the Fukushima Meltdown, now Radioactive Ocean Dumping
Solar Plus Battery Plus Grid

Battery Technology Drives Utility Reliability, Resilience, and lower ratepayer costs

July 22, 2023/0 Comments/in Climate /by BeyondKona

Tesla Q2 battery storage deployments increase 222%

Tesla is widely acknowledged as world’s leader in all things tied to Electric Vehicles, but lesser known is its global leadership in utility scale and residential battery storage and energy management systems.

Tesla’s energy storage business is also no stranger to Hawaii. Early on, the company enabled Kauai’s co-op electric utility through solar and battery storage installations to lead the state in clean energy transformation.

Tesla reported Wednesday the company’s utility scale battery storage deployments shot up by 222% year over year in the second quarter, reaching around 3.7 GWh, thanks in part to the ramp up of the first factory dedicated to its Megapack battery product, located in Lathrop, California.

Following its virtual power plants (VPP) success in Australia, Tesla is also developing project to pay customers in Texas for participating in its VPP network designed to provide grid support to the Electric Reliability Council of Texas. Tesla noted that bringing VPP capabilities to customers “requires working through a fractured regulatory environment on a jurisdiction-by-jurisdiction basis”.

Vpp Power GraphA Virtual Power Plant (VPP) is defined as a network of decentralized, medium-scale power generating units featuring flexible power options for consumer-sited storage and solar power generation systems.

In the residential energy market, Tesla recently surpassed a half million installed Powerwalls — a home battery system — and this week launched a program that allows Tesla Powerwall and vehicle customers to charge their vehicles using excess solar, a company representative said. The company has also begun compensating customers in Texas that are participating in its VPP program.

Tesla runs a similar VPP in Pacific Gas & Electric’s footprint in California, offering customers $2/kWh for electricity that they export back to the grid. Hawaiian Electric’s original, equitable, and popular, but short-lived, Net Metering program (2013-16) offered Hawaiian Electric’s utility customers who invested in home solar and who supplied power back to the grid $0.40/kWh credit – a power supply which off-set the utility’s need to burn high cost oil, coal, and trash in exchange for clean energy-produced electricity from its customers. For HE, however, their profit incentives are embedded in their long term and fossil-fueled plant operation investments – profit subsidized by the utility’s customers (ratepayers).

It’s Hot and Getter Hotter; with no end in sight

It’s no secret that human-induced changes to the Earth’s climate for the past 200 years have begun to overwhelm Earth’s careful systems balance, which increasing apparent to scientists and more recently policy makers are driven particularly by fossil fuel burning, which is now modifying and heating the planet through compounding global increases of heat-trapping greenhouse gas levels in Earth’s atmosphere, thus raising Earth’s average surface temperature and deadly consequences to all life on Earth as we know it today.

Nasa 2023 Gw GraphElectricity production (25% of 2021 greenhouse gas emissions) – Electric power generates the second largest share of greenhouse gas emissions and includes emissions from electricity production used by other end use sectors (e.g. industry). This 2021 NASA report total does not reflect the coming shift in energy demand off fossil fuels and to electricity energy consumed to support the coming electrification of most ground transportation.

Hawaii’s EV Promise, A Double Edged Sword

The idea as to the ability of utilities to supply true clean power in closing growing energy gaps between supply and demand increases created by electric vehicle adoption is at best, foolish and naive.

Many of today’s utility assumptions (especially true for Hawaii) are based on more of the same in meeting forthcoming increases in power production demand.  Plug-in and turn-on will generate greater EV electricity demand, with supply potentially fueled by Hawaiian Electric’s present-day grid and multi-island network of combustion-based and dirty fueled power plants. And, that is a prescription for more locally-produced powerplant pollution and greenhouse gas emissions, …not less.

Pw Energy ReportVPP home and community systems are the next generation in clean energy self-sufficiency and lower cost energy reliability, by introducing battery storage in combination with rooftop solar. And battery storage are projected to include electric vehicles serving more than just transportation needs, ad energy security for home owners in the form of a battery back-up system for the home with wheels.

When last summer’s extreme weather strained California’s grid, the VPP was customer-to-grid system was activated for the first time and it contributed up to 16.5 MW of solar power to the grid, preventing grid outages during periods of extreme customer demand.

On the residential energy side, Tesla recently surpassed a half million installed Powerwalls — a home battery system — and this week launched a program that allows Tesla Powerwall and vehicle customers to charge their vehicles using excess solar, a company representative said.

“In the long run, the value of residential energy software and hardware will be driven by the level of market access that utilities, market operators and regulators permit,” a Tesla representative noted. In part that’s correct, and at least half-true unless utilities forfeit their responsibility to ratepayers and shareholders alike. Utilities struggle with basic structural fact they function as energy monopolies, and operate with business guarantees in terms of profit and risk not afforded other sectors of the economy.

Utility decisions and actions over the next few years, and this especially true for Hawai’i with its extraordinarily high cost for electricity, will be forced out necessity and not foresight to make decisions that either hasten the day when the grid becomes irrelevant and is replaced by distributed community power systems (aka microgrids and VPP systems), and power consumers become self-managed and independent power producers; or through their special energy monopoly status and capital guarantees innovate, adapt, and evolve into the clean energy technologies and services which are increasingly level the playing ground between utilities and consumers.

Time is running out for humans seeking to maintain a habitable planet (and certainly not destroying it), and also for utilities to adapt to true sustainable energy outcomes, or just fade away as relics of a fossil-fueled and GHG emitting past.

Time is running out for humans seeking to maintain a habitable planet, and equally so for utilities to adapt and transform themselves into true sustainable energy outcomes — or fade away as relics of a fossil-fueled and GHG emitting past.

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Solar Wind Bess

Texas; National Leader in Renewable Energy?

July 5, 2023/1 Comment/in Climate /by BeyondKona

Today’s the Grand Old Party (GOP) more or less stands for the Gas Oil Pollution party, with the United States’ primary petrochemical production states of Texas, Louisiana, and Oklahoma leading the pack in historic Big Oil investment, and wielding the political power for blocking an enabling national policy on the road to a national clean energy economy.  These same petro states use the GOP political machine to push through policies (when their party is in the majority) to defund the EPA and cripple the agency’s environmental protection duties, while at the same time rolling-back and obstructing policies designed to address a climate crisis now sweeping the planet. They also seek to control the narrative, by defunding and denying scientific evidence linking the burning of fossil fuels to Global Heating now underway.

Monday, July 3, 2023 as it turns out was the hottest day ever recorded globally, according to the U.S. National Centers for Environmental Prediction. The average global temperature reached 17.01 degrees Celsius (62.62 Fahrenheit), surpassing the August 2016 record of 16.92C (62.46F) as heatwaves sizzled around the world. “It’s a death sentence for people and ecosystems,” said Friederike Otto, a senior lecturer at the Grantham Institute for Climate Change and the Environment. And it’s about to get worse.

Texas Turbines San BenitoThe poster boy for this disconnection between blanket support for fossil fuels and blocking the advancement of renewable energy as national policy has been Texas. A classic example of of don’t do what I do, do what I say.  Like other southern states, Texas is is battling brutal climate-fueled heat waves now regularly reaching triple-digit temperatures.  This summer, like last summer, global heat waves triggered record levels of energy demand. In the case of Texas, and other oil and gas states suffering from the energy impacts of global heating, some might call this paradox “karma”.  Hinduism identifies karma as the relationship between a person’s mental or physical action and the consequences following that action.

And this summer, like last summer, renewable energy are the heroes of this story — yet they remain curiously vilified by politicians in the Lone Star State in spite of Texas’ national leadership role in a statewide clean energy transformation.  In recent years, renewable energy has been ramping up across Texas. The state has rapidly increased solar capacity, for instance, enabling as much as 16,800 megawatts of solar power to be produced on the grid as of the end of May. That’s roughly six times the capacity that existed in 2019 (about 2,600 megawatts), according to data from the Electric Reliability Council of Texas, the state’s grid operator.

The bottom line

This increase in solar energy, coupled with greater wind and storage development — is what has allowed Texans to beat the heat and keep their electricity bills down.  The lesson here for Hawaii is a reality already playing out in Texas and elsewhere.

The Texas Lesson

Several thermal-energy (combustion and nuclear) plants in the state went offline in recent weeks, as coal, natural gas and nuclear facilities appeared to buckle under extreme temperatures and shrinking maintenance windows.

The addition of solar and wind generation more than made up the difference for these so-called “firm” energy power plants. Solar, wind and storage (aka renewables) for Texas now represent roughly 35 to 40 percent of power generation at peak, compared with about 30 percent last year.

As BeyondKona has reported repeatedly; technological advances in wind and solar energy systems offer not only the best value on energy delivered to ratepayers, but zero emissions (no GHG) and no pollution energy option. They are also more than competitive against fossil fuels, waste-to-energy, and biomass combustion plants, and all which contribute to greenhouse emissions and more Global Heating.

Improvements in storage technology, most notable batteries, have also helped address renewables’ most-cited weakness: their intermittency. In Texas for example, better batteries mean air conditioners can reliably keep blasting cool air even on hot cloudy, windless days, and the same lesson applies to Hawaii’s goal in meeting self-sufficiency clean energy needs.

Texas is not exactly known for its bleeding-heart-liberal populace, generates more electricity from wind and solar than any other state. Of the 710 megawatts of new battery storage that went online across the United States in the first three months of 2023, about 70 percent was in Texas alone, according to data from S&P Global.

Part of Texas rapid energy transformation is due to its progressive energy permitting environment, an area Hawaii continues to lag behind in its slow journey towards a clean energy economy.


In Related Developments

Oil lobbyists spend millions to stall California’s game-changing climate bill

California bills would force large companies that do business in the state to report all emissions and crack down on bogus carbon offset claims

Two transparency bills in the California legislature would require corporations to disclose more information about their emissions and their efforts to fight the climate crisis. The oil and gas industry is spending millions to kill them.

While some oil and gas companies in California have expressed their support for rolling back climate change, industry opposition fits into an agenda of delaying action, said Ryan Schleeter, communications director at the Climate Center.

“Delay is the new Denial,” said Schleeter. “Climate denial won’t fly in this state and companies are smart enough to figure that out, so they delay as long as possible and squeeze out as much profit as they can” said Ryan Schleeter, communications director at the Climate Center.

https://www.beyondkona.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/12/solar-wind-bess.png 313 666 Bill Bugbee https://www.beyondkona.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/beyond-kona-logo.png Bill Bugbee2023-07-05 12:10:502023-07-06 10:50:50Texas; National Leader in Renewable Energy?
Solar Wind Bess

Hawaiian Electric; forward into the past

May 28, 2023/0 Comments/in Climate, Energy & Technology /by BeyondKona

Solar Roof HonoluluFor the past 10 years, the utility’s transition decisions to renewable energy have been notable, not so much in terms of actions, but in overall inaction. The system has historically worked well, for the most part, but time, technology, and necessity have turned obsolete utility operating assumptions on their head.

Increased demand for electrical energy is now being accelerated by a growing demand from the electrification of ground transportation. Hawaii in the crosshairs between grand expectations of a clean and self-sustaining clean energy economy, and how best to address the opportunities for change.  Front and center is how the state’s largest utility will best address the dual challenges of climate change adaption, and the ever-increasing cost of electricity on household and business budgets. And ratepayers remain in the crosshairs of the state’s largest energy monopoly, Hawaiian Electric, and neverending rate hikes.

Life as a Energy Monopoly

The business, regulatory, and financial structure of public electricity services are by design unique from any other form of commerce.  The underlying elements of risk and reward in private sector business ventures are mostly absent for electric utilities like Hawaiian Electric, replaced by income and profit guarantees. Risk, innovation, and cost performance are framed inside a business operation serving as an energy monopoly with publicly guaranteed (by ratepayers) returns on investment in exchange utility guarantees on minimum levels of public service provisioning; electricity delivered on customer demand.  This system has worked well for the most part for the last 100 years, but time, technology, and necessity have turned these obsolete utility operating assumptions on their head.

A monopoly is generally defined as limiting available substitutes for its product, engaging in price fixing, and creating barriers of entry for competitors, and is generally illegal within the United States, except in the exceptional case of utilities offering essential public services. Public utilities are regulated by, yes, a state Public Utility Commission, but generally accountable to both state and federal (FERC) oversight, which is not the case for Hawaiian Electric solely bound by state regulation, and SEC regulation as a publicly-traded company.

The system of utility-driven checks and balances has worked well for the most part in the past. but in the case of Hawaii’s energy present and future, have increasingly been called into question. Change is the culprit, and it is evitable, with a looming global climate crisis now in progress, clean energy technology advances that have blurred the line between power consumers and power producers, and pardon the pun, empower consumers to take control of their power needs.

Nobody ever said change is easy, and in Hawaii’s case, isolation from mainland energy suppliers, has placed a decades-old 100% statewide renewable energy (electricity) mandate by 2045 on an uncertain course and outcome.

Hawaiian Electric, for reasons not generally known, now finds itself struggling to balance its past, present, and future operating priorities. And how best to balance those operating priorities firmly rooted in the past with a statewide clean energy mandate, and at the same time supporting traditional profit models, investor expectations, and internal operating priorities focused on extending the life of its legacy investments in old combustion polluting power plants. All this is in the background, while the company faces a new generation of clean energy options and greater customer expectations.

He Oahu Power PlantThe utility’s focus on preserving its past stranglehold on electricity production and delivery is already endangered as an increasing number of households and businesses who are taking control of their energy destiny by adopting rooftop solar and battery storage.   This consumer trend is driven by several factors beyond cost and energy savings, increasing energy security is a major factor in this transition, reducing grid power essentially to a backup energy source. Efficiency is another major factor favoring this cost-saving and energy-resiliency move by consumers.

The most efficient energy management outcome is the ability to produce, store, and deliver energy on-demand at the point of consumption, e.g., rooftop solar + storage.

Today’s utility model is not only obsolete; it is also unnecessarily outdated, costly, and energy inefficient.  The average loss of power between the power plant and consumers ranges between 5-15%, A challenging service topography, and fragmentation within Hawaiian Electric’s service territory, from transmission to plug, place power efficiency losses on the high end of the scale.

A transition to a clean and sustainable energy economy requires practical and equitable clean energy substitutes for Hawaii’s traditional and unsustainable dependence on dirty and imported fuels required to fuel the state’s outdated and inefficient grid-powered energy delivery system. — goals for the state and compliance with aggressive goals to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and increase the proportion of their energy portfolio produced from renewable energy sources, loosely defined as dirty energy options other than fossil fuels, and clean energy options, e.g.; such as solar and wind and storage.

Hawaii Solar Radiation In The ZoneIn Hawaiian Electric’s own words… “In 2022, solar power provided about 17% of Hawaii’s total electricity, primarily from small-scale, customer-sited solar power generation that is the 10th-highest among the states.”

“In 2022, about 29% of the state’s total generation came from renewables.” That so-called renewable energy balance of 12%, was represented by burning toxic trash for power, cutting down trees, burning them to generate electricity, and continuing to engage and expand a geothermal plant, which has consistently failed to meet minimum power generation commitments since the 2018 Kilauea eruption, and advancing a highly questionable biofuel combustion plant agenda.

Nearly all the energy available on Earth is derived from solar radiation, especially in Hawaii. That includes the energy that drives natural processes from wind systems and the hydrological cycle to leaf photosynthesis.

Solar energy and its cousin wind energy have become the most important and cost-effective clean and zero-emissions sources for generating electricity and hot water systems.  Today’s battery and hydro-storage systems turn these variable clean energy sources into around-the-clock, reliable, and resilient. energy sources ready to serve all of Hawaii electricity needs.

The state’s largest utility is at a cross-roads, the opportunity for transformation has never been greater.  Holding onto an energy past neither serves its customers nor shareholders. It is a path to failure, one increasingly, which will not be subsidized by ratepayers or lost opportunities.

https://www.beyondkona.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/12/solar-wind-bess.png 313 666 Bill Bugbee https://www.beyondkona.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/beyond-kona-logo.png Bill Bugbee2023-05-28 06:04:412023-05-30 10:10:43Hawaiian Electric; forward into the past
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