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Beyond Kona Climate Feed

Avoiding Extreme Climate Change – time is running out

July 21, 2022/0 Comments/in Climate /by BeyondKona

Ghg Biden Pledge

President Biden, in a speech on Wednesday and before an audience at a former coal plant in Massachusetts since converted to support an offshore windfarm project, told the audience the following:

“Climate change is literally an existential threat to our nation and to the world”… 

“Right now, there are millions of people suffering from extreme heat at home so my team is also working with the states to deploy $385m right now. For the first time, states will be able to use federal funds to pay for air conditioners in homes, set up community cooling centers in schools where people can get through these extreme heat crises.”   “As president, I have a responsibility to act with urgency and resolve when our nation faces clear and present danger, and the health of our citizens and our communities are literally at stake.”

“So my message today is this: since Congress is not acting as it should – and these guys here are, but we’re not getting many Republican votes – this is an emergency.” 

Biden’s actions include $2.3bn in funding to help communities prepare for heatwaves, droughts and floods, new guidance that allows the federal government to help provide cooling centers and air conditioning, and new planned offshore wind energy leases for the Gulf of Mexico coast.

“Right now, there are millions of people suffering from extreme heat at home so my team is also working with the states to deploy $385m right now. For the first time, states will be able to use federal funds to pay for air conditioners in homes, set up community cooling centers in schools where people can get through these extreme heat crises,” Biden went on to explain.

“For too long we have been waiting for a single piece of legislation, and a single Senate vote, to take bold action on our climate crisis,” a group of senators including the leading progressives Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren, wrote to Biden this week.  “As a result, we urge you to put us on an emergency footing and aggressively use your executive powers to address the climate crisis.”


Lessons from a Hotter World

Record Heat

More than 100 million people in the Lower 48 states are under heat alerts on Thursday amid relentlessly sweltering temperatures that have soared as high as 115 degrees in recent days.

About 60 million Americans in at least 16 states are set to experience triple-digit highs Thursday; an additional half-dozen states could see the mercury reach the upper 90s.

This summer’s heat impacts are not confined to the US. Euro Heat Wave July 2022

Scientists say that heat waves are increasing at a faster rate in Europe than in almost any other part of the world.

Scorching heat baked much of Western Europe this week, with temperatures reaching more than 100 degrees Fahrenheit in some areas.

The United Kingdom experienced major disruptions to its transportation networks, and France battled wildfires.


Is Hawaii getting hotter?

The last five years have seen peak average annual temperatures years across all islands.  Temperatures are increasing by 0.3°F every decade, at four times the rate of half a century ago.   The hottest year ever recorded on O’ahu was 2019 with the hottest day ever recorded in Honolulu’s history that year.

So yes, it’s hot and dry (a continuing drought over many parts of the state), and certainly increasingly muggy for those of us living here in sunny Hawaii.  It’s also difficult to ignore the present extreme weather events now breaking all time temperature records around the world, spurring freak and deadly storms events, warming our oceans, and raising sea levels.

The heat wave presently impacting the US and Europe has set at least 60 records, peaked this week as a historic bout of exceptional temperatures killed more than 1,000 people in Europe. Britain set a record-high temperature Tuesday as several weather stations recorded temperatures which exceeded 40 degrees Celsius (104 degrees Fahrenheit) for the first time ever.


Cause and Effect –

White House officials are scrambling to advance the president’s environmental agenda after talks with Sen. Joe Manchin (D) recently stalled in a third round political compromise.  In the meantime, Europe struggles to meet climate commitments given Putin’s retaliation for Ukraine sanctions amid its dependency on Russian gas and oil.  What was an EU-sanctioned and European driven methodical transition off fossil fuels has become an all-out route.  At least the Europeans have a plan, which is more than we can say for the US Congress, we can’t even seem to agree on the time of day..

The destruction of President Biden’s climate efforts by Republicans and one Democrat—Joe Manchin from the coal state of West Virginia—has the White House readying to declare a climate emergency, and readying to take needed executive climate action. Nobody likes this option, but the GasOilPollution party holding to the interests of its paymasters, addressing climate policy through congressional means is for all intent and purposes DOA.

President Biden’s efforts since taking office has been to demonstrate his firm belief in good governance through bipartisanship, unfortunately for the Country and planet Earth for that matter, his efforts in re-establishing America a global leader addressing climate change have failed, and certainly not because of the time invested or effort. Biden has, and is, facing a firewall of political resistance that goes against all meaningful climate action and reason.  He must now assume a strongman rule that runs counter to democratic norms and govern by fiat, and for this president, the emerging climate emergency is a new governing reality that has moved the County’s welfare past politics.

Scientists have said the world must slash emissions in half this decade, and phase them out entirely by 2050, if catastrophically worse heatwaves, floods, drought and other climate impacts are to be averted. The US will fall about halfway short of such a goal absent any significant congressional action, even with presidential orders, analysts have forecast.

“President Biden cannot do it alone,” said Heather Zichal, chief executive of the American Clean Power Association. “We urge Congress to get back to the table and come to a consensus on clean energy provisions that our country so desperately needs.”

Ironically, some of the world’s biggest petro-polluters have been advocating planting trees as the magic bullet for carbon neutrality, as if they are Switzerland. Their carbon capture slogan goes like this, “…we are placing the planet on a path to a carbon neutrality (in some undetermined future) by planting millions of trees.”

The problem, accelerating global warming is creating the perfect storm for the burning of the world’s forests now on fire at unprecedented rates, and releasing massive amounts of carbon emissions into the atmosphere. The rising temperature consequences don’t end there, as ice sheets are melting in the northern and southern latitudes releasing massive volumes of methane (a highly potent greenhouse gas) compounding this human experiment on the path to extinction, as humans continue to burn fossil fuels and emitting GHG pollutants into the atmosphere at ever increasing rates.


Business as usual in unusual times

For over 30 years, science has shared with policymakers and the public hard evidence and science-based predictions of climate change and the resulting planetary warming feedback loops we’re now beginning to experience.

Beyond the increased warming and associated burning of entire forest systems, the remaining frozen areas in the northern and southern latitudes are now melting at rates not seen since humans walk the Earth, as the ice and tundra meltdown is further releasing massive amounts of once-frozen methane (a highly potent greenhouse gas) into the atmosphere. All this was predicted in publicly available cause-and-effect climate-science findings. These are but two examples of climate-feedback loops compounding today’s global heating of the planet, and making the job of reversing this trend that much more urgent.

However, it’s business as usual for the fossil fuel moguls and their agents in both political parties, as petrol profits are at an all time high, driven more by fear than supply and demand. These fossil fuel stakeholders can no longer deny their way out of the consequences of their products and business practices, now driving global warming beyond worse case predictions and wreaking havoc across Europe, the US, and the entire planet for that matter; it’s much easier for the fossil fuel industrial sector to believe in business-as-usual, and ignore their obvious connection to the problem and their responsibility for genuine participation in the solution.

Perhaps its not enough to destroy global habitat on which humans are so dependent, while global taxpayers annually are paying an estimated $6.2 trillion USD in taxpayer subsidies (IMF-World Bank recent study findings adjusted for inflation) to this same fossil fuel industrial sector – which begs the question…when is enough, enough? 

As the US is blanketed with heat waves and extreme weather this summer, its another reminder we must heed the United Nations climate warning: It’s going to get worse.-


The story of two frogs

Frogs BoilingTwo frogs dove into a pot of warm water, unfortunately for them the pot was on a gas stove being heated. The frogs did not try to jump out of the pot as the temperature continued to rise, they managed to adjust their body temperature accordingly.

As the water neared its boiling point, the frogs were no longer able to adjust their body temperature to the heat and tried to jump out of the boiling pot but couldn’t (that time had passed), and were boiled alive instead.

What was the reason that the frogs didn’t save themselves?  Perhaps, blaming the hot water, and not the frogs for their demise, some would incorrectly conclude is the answer..

https://www.beyondkona.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/06/beyond-kona-climate-feed.jpg 150 150 Bill Bugbee https://www.beyondkona.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/beyond-kona-logo.png Bill Bugbee2022-07-21 15:45:502022-07-21 15:44:39Avoiding Extreme Climate Change - time is running out
Beyond Kona Climate Feed

Staying Cool on a Warming Planet

July 21, 2022/0 Comments/in Climate /by BeyondKona
Amid a historically hot summer, swaths of the United States and Europe are baking. Already scorching temperatures are continuing to climb in some areas, prompting widespread public safety concerns about the extreme heat, which, experts say, is likely to only become more frequent and more intense as the planet warms.   For more news on this subject try: Avoiding Extreme Climate Change – time is running out

Heat Waves Are Getting Hotter, here’s how to prepare

Hawaii is noted for, among other things, for its humid subtropical climate — By definition, subtropical zones or subtropics are geographical and climate zones located to the north and south of the tropics.

Hawaii’s residents are no stranger to hot and humid summer days, but this year feels hotter than normal and the humidity a bit more stifling.

“The best-case (global warming) scenario is still that this is the coolest summer you’ll experience in the rest of your life,” said Ben Zaitchik, a professor in the earth and planetary sciences department at Johns Hopkins University, who studies extreme weather events. “We’re going to be facing heat waves of at least the intensity we’ve been experiencing the past couple of years and almost certainly of greater intensity, even if we decarbonize along the best-case scenario.”

“Heat is often referred to as the silent killer because it doesn’t get the kind of attention a big hurricane blowing in does,” he said. “Just being aware of that is critically important.”

Here are some helpful guidelines:

Prepare your indoor spaces to maximize staying cool

During heat waves, air conditioning can save lives. “Tragically, when we see people who succumb to heat-related illness or severe outcomes, it’s usually lack of access to air conditioning,” Matthew Levy, an associate professor of emergency medicine at Johns Hopkins

But many homes don’t have air conditioning. Meanwhile, some people might choose not to run their units due to concerns about increasing utility bills, overloading electrical grids or contributing to human-caused climate change — which is exacerbating the intensity and frequency of extreme heat events.

Have a plan to access air-conditioned spaces, whether it’s outfitting your home with a wall unit or a portable device, or knowing of other places you can go, such as another person’s home, community cooling centers, public libraries or malls. Even being in air conditioning for a few hours can be helpful, Wilhelmi said.

Think about ventilation, Zaitchik said. Often, “ventilation is your friend, so really trying to get airflow can be really valuable.”

Fans can also be a huge help, as long as it isn’t too hot inside. When indoor temperatures reach the high 90s, electric fans, which move air around but don’t cool it, won’t prevent against heat-related illness, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

If you’re purchasing fans, Zaitchik recommends choosing some battery-operated units in case of power outages. Place fans where they will draw in the coolest air — a fan in a window overlooking a leafy backyard is preferable to one that pulls in hot air and car exhaust from a busy roadway. Make sure any ceiling fans are spinning counterclockwise, so they push air down in a column.

Adding water can also enhance the effect of fans, experts said. Have a spray bottle handy and keep your skin moist by misting yourself often.


Stock up on water

In addition to using water to help keep your body cool, hydration is key. If you’re dehydrated, you may be more prone to developing other heat-related conditions because your body can’t sweat as efficiently or cool down as well, Grant Lipman, an emergency physician and founder of the GOES Health app, told The Post in June. “In effect, you body’s radiator is low on coolant.”

Have bottled water on hand or keep large jugs filled in case of water shortages, especially in areas where extreme heat has caused droughts.


Check on vulnerable people

Anyone can be negatively affected by hotter temperatures if they’re not careful, but certain populations are more vulnerable, including the elderly, young children, athletes, people who have chronic medical conditions, pregnant people and those who may be struggling with mental health issues. Heat can also exact a psychological toll on people who don’t have preexisting mental health conditions.

If you know anyone who might be at increased risk, check in on them and make sure they’re equipped to stay safe. This may mean inviting an elderly relative to stay with you, helping someone get to a community cooling center, or dropping by people’s homes to see whether their air conditioners are working or to bring them cold drinks. Additionally, it’s important to help strangers who may be in need.

“Really, the difference between a severe heat stress affecting somebody, a vulnerable person, and them being fine can be the difference of opening a window or getting a bottle of water,” Zaitchik said.


Don’t forget pets or plants

Heat can exact a toll on pets and plants, too.

If it’s too hot for you, it’s too hot for your pet. Beyond making sure your animals can stay cool and hydrated and watching for signs of overheating, avoid unprotected walks on hot pavement or asphalt, which can burn paw pads.

Cicadas, plants and too much sun: How to keep your pet safe from summer hazards

For plants, think about when and how you water them, according to an article published by Oregon State University.

Watering in the morning gives plants time to absorb moisture before it gets too hot, said Erica Chernoh, a horticulturist with the Oregon State University Extension Service. Make sure water penetrates at least six inches down, and if you’re watering by hand, pour close to the soil under the plant, she suggests.

It could also be helpful to use shade cloth over your plants or add mulch around them, which can slow down evaporation, according to Chernoh. Potted plants and seedlings can be moved to shadier spots.

https://www.beyondkona.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/06/beyond-kona-climate-feed.jpg 150 150 Bill Bugbee https://www.beyondkona.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/beyond-kona-logo.png Bill Bugbee2022-07-21 15:42:032022-07-21 16:03:56Staying Cool on a Warming Planet
Money Buys Justice

Supreme Court Rules Against EPA Climate Action

July 3, 2022/1 Comment/in Climate /by BeyondKona

Post Supreme Court Ruling Comments; West Virginia v. EPA

  • Columnist George F. Will called it a “most momentous decision,” saying it could prod Congress to stop handing off its legislative power to bureaucrats.  This would limit the excessive autonomy currently enjoyed by the executive agencies that are the increasingly autonomous, unleashed and unaccountable administrative state.”
  • Harvard Law School professor Richard Lazarus, an expert on environmental and administrative law, saw it the opposite way. “A radically conservative (Supreme Court) majority,” he warned, “has seriously threatened environmental law’s ability to safeguard public health and welfare.”

In Lazarus’s view, the ruling does not so much incentivize Congress to act as it dangerously hobbles government agencies. “Congress deliberately chose to delegate lawmaking authority to expert agencies in appreciation of Congress’s own inability to anticipate and address all those complexities on a real-time basis.”

Our nation’s environmental protection laws have been enormously successful over the past 50 years or so. Notwithstanding their obvious gaps and persistent shortfalls, they have significantly reduced air, water and land pollution across the country while the nation’s economy has grown exponentially. No less important, they have prevented the kind of environmental devastation and public health disasters that have occurred in nations lacking such laws.

That half-century of extraordinary success has depended on a partnership among the federal legislative and executive branches, long upheld by the courts. Congress can enact broad, capacious statutory language that authorizes agencies such as the Environmental Protection Agency to enact pollution controls that reflect the complexities presented by evolving environmental science, the nation’s economy and constant technological innovation.
The nation and indeed the world have no time to wait to address climate change. That makes this ruling potentially devastating to the future because of the additional delay that will result as the EPA seeks new pathways to lower greenhouse gas emissions.

— Ordinally published June 30th, 2022 —

Supreme Court Decision Strips Federal Government of Crucial Tool to address Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Global Warming

Republicans cheered the ruling, with Senator Mitch McConnell saying it limited the power of “unelected, unaccountable bureaucrats.”

Speaker Nancy Pelosi said the court’s conservative majority had decided to “let our planet burn.”

The Supreme Court on Thursday limited the Environmental Protection Agency’s ability to regulate carbon emissions from power plants, dealing a blow to the Biden administration’s efforts to address climate change.

The vote was 6 to 3, with the court’s three liberal justices in dissent, saying that the majority had stripped the E.P.A. of “the power to respond to the most pressing environmental challenge of our time.”

The ruling, in West Virginia v. Environmental Protection Agency, not only limits the authority of the E.P.A., but potentially that of other agencies to enact a broad array of regulations to protect the environment and public health. It was the product of a coordinated, multiyear strategy by Republican attorneys general, conservative legal activists and their funders to use the judicial system to rewrite environmental law, weakening the executive branch’s ability to tackle global warming.


Originally published June 25th 2022

At the end of the first full Supreme Court term with Chief Justice John G. Roberts Jr. and Justice Samuel A. Alito Jr. in place, liberal Justice Stephen G. Breyer said he was amazed — and not in a particularly good way — what President George W. Bush’s nominees to the bench had accomplished in such little time.

“It is not often that so few have so quickly changed so much,” Breyer said in June 2007.

But that was nothing compared to this week as three Trump-appointed justices, joined their other Republican-majority court justices in firing off two significant decisions in rapid succession.  First, a Second Amendment gun rights ruling which flies in the face of rising public concerns over escalating national gun violence now targeting the most innocent of society; children.  The Court majority’s second decision was another political win and a shock to many women, a second coming to others in the form of the most significant social ruling in modern times; overturning protections granted women by Roe v. Wade for the nearly 50 years which guaranteed a woman’s fundamental right to health care and abortion.

As significant as these two recent court decisions represent, what’s ahead for this GOP-controlled court will soon affect every American regardless of their sex, race, income, or political party — an environmental climate case now being decided by the Supreme Court. As in the case of the legal dismemberment of Roe v. Wade, this case is the product of a coordinated multiyear strategy led by Republican Attorneys General.

Within days, the Republican majority on the Supreme Court is expected to hand down a decision that could severely limit the federal government’s authority to reduce carbon dioxide from power plants — pollution found to dangerously heat the planet’s climate.

Fossil Fuel Polluters Retaliate

On the front lines of this emerging battle is the case of West Virginia v. EPA, is the result of a coordinated, multi-decade strategy led by Republican Attorneys General, conservative legal activists, and their funders with ties to the oil and coal industries.

The polluter attack strategy is fairly straight forward; use the judicial system to rewrite environmental laws, weakening the executive branch’s ability to tackle global warming.

Thousands of fossil fuel projects are still protected by treaties - Thred Website

Coming up through the federal courts are more and more climate cases and headed to Supreme Court, some featuring novel legal arguments, each carefully selected for its potential to block the government’s ability to regulate industries and businesses that produce greenhouse gases. These legal strategies are becoming more and more sophisticated with time and money.

The plaintiffs seek to hem in what they call the “administrative state”, the E.P.A. and other federal agencies who set rules and enforce regulations that affect industrial sectors responsible for the majority of environmental crimes and offenses in which newer regulations are designed to rein in, e.g., global warming emissions, toxic air and water pollution violations, etc.

Congress has barely addressed the issue of climate change. Instead, for decades it has delegated authority to the EPA and other agencies because it lacks the political will, and equally important, the expertise possessed by the specialists who write complicated rules and regulations and who can respond quickly to changing science – a long standing practice now embedded in today’s Capitol Hill gridlock.

Follow the Money

The Federalist Society is one of many money sources engaged in attacks on Federal environmental and climate protections. The Society is funded by the likes of Koch Industries, which has long fought and funded climate action roadblocks; the Sarah Scaife Foundation, created by the heirs to the Mellon oil, aluminum and banking fortune; and Chevron, the oil giant and plaintiff in the case that created the so-called “Chevron defense”.  After a 1984 Supreme Court ruling, that doctrine holds that courts must defer to reasonable interpretations of ambiguous statutes by federal agencies on the theory that agencies have more expertise than judges and are more accountable to voters. “Judges are not experts in the field and are not part of either political branch of the government,”  Justice John Paul Stevens wrote in his opinion for a unanimous court ruling.

The forthcoming case; West Virginia v. E.P.A., No. 20–1530 on the court docket, is  notable for the tangle of connections between the plaintiffs and the Supreme Court justices who will decide their case.

The Republican plaintiffs share many of the same donors behind efforts to nominate and confirm five of the Republicans on the bench — John G. Roberts, Samuel A. Alito Jr., Neil M. Gorsuch, Brett M. Kavanaugh and Amy Coney Barrett.

“It’s a pincer move,” said Lisa Graves, executive director of the progressive watchdog group True North Research and a former senior Justice Department official. “They are teeing up the attorneys to bring the litigation before the same judges that they handpicked.”

The pattern is repeated in other climate cases filed by the Republican AG’s now advancing through the lower courts: The plaintiffs are supported by the same network of conservative donors who helped former President Donald J. Trump place more than 200 federal judges, many now in position to rule on the climate cases in the coming year.

At least two of the cases feature an unusual approach that demonstrates the aggressive nature of the legal campaign. In those suits, the plaintiffs are challenging regulations or policies that don’t yet exist. They seek to pre-empt efforts by President Biden to deliver on his promise to pivot the country away from fossil fuels, while at the same time aiming to prevent a future president from trying anything similar.

The Stakes for Climate Cases

Limitations on action in the United States against global warming could doom global efforts to avert the worst climate disruptions.

Victory for the plaintiffs in these cases would mean:

  • the federal government could not restrict tailpipe emissions because of vehicles’ impact on climate, even though transportation is the country’s largest source of greenhouse gases.
  • The government also would not be able to force electric utilities to replace fossil fuel-fired power plants (the second-largest source of planet warming pollution), with wind and solar power, and
  • The executive branch could no longer consider the economic costs of climate change when evaluating whether to approve a new oil pipeline or similar project or environmental rule.

Those limitations on climate action in the United States, which has pumped more planet-warming gases into the atmosphere than any other nation, would quite likely doom the world’s goal of cutting enough emissions to keep the planet from heating up more than an average of 1.5 degrees Celsius compared with the preindustrial age.

A temperature rise greater than 1.5 degrees Celsius is the threshold beyond which scientists say the likelihood of catastrophic hurricanes, drought, heat waves and wildfires significantly increases.   The Earth has already warmed an average of 1.1 degrees Celsius.

“If the Supreme Court uses this as an opportunity to really squash E.P.A.’s ability to regulate on Climate Change, it will seriously impede U.S. progress toward solving the problem,” said Michael Oppenheimer, a professor of geosciences and international affairs at Princeton University.

But many conservatives say the decision violates the separation of powers by allowing executive branch officials rather than judges to say what the law is.  Associate Justice Gorsuch wrote that Chevron allowed “executive bureaucracies to swallow huge amounts of core judicial and legislative power.” In other words, elected judges and politicians are more qualified than scientists and agency experts to determine public harm when it comes to climate change and other environmental impacts..

https://www.beyondkona.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/Money-buys-justice.png 1605 2000 Bill Bugbee https://www.beyondkona.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/beyond-kona-logo.png Bill Bugbee2022-07-03 07:03:282022-07-03 09:23:24Supreme Court Rules Against EPA Climate Action
Greenwashing

Corporate Greenwashing; it’s time to come clean

May 20, 2022/1 Comment/in Climate /by BeyondKona

As BeyondKona reported earlier in “A Titan Battle: Oil versus Climate” words and actions matter in the battle to address climate change.

Clearly, to win this epic battle and to save the planet humanity requires more than just public participation, e.g., adding solar to rooftops and driving electric vehicles. The producers and consumers of this fossil fuel energy play have a role and responsibility in determining the future and outcome of life on this planet.

In what can only be described as a battle of epic proportions began with corporate and political denial, but has since been replaced by overwhelming scientific proof and a removal of decades of doubt and denial. The cause and effect role humans play in creating and piling-on global warming emissions is now well established, as are the increasing consequences.

Climate change is perhaps the most disruptive change to Earth since humans arrived on the scene.

Solutions to the magnitude of the problem have been blocked or delayed by a global economy based on obsolete fossil fuels. Corporate Greenwashing is just one more element in this battle.  Change is hard, very hard, and for those invested in the past ignoring both the present and future consequences of global warming are especially difficult to accept or change.


Greenwashing is an effective propaganda tool designed to slow energy and climate reforms. It’s expressing an intention or action and doing the opposite. It is baked into the climate battle between those who are chiefly responsible for creating the problem, and the public which shares in that responsibility as consumers of fuels unsettling Earth’s delicate climate balance.   It’s comforting being told …“don’t worry, be happy”, but when reality sets in it spoils the party.

GreenwashingFirst things first: What do companies mean by net zero?

Becoming carbon neutral involves two basic corporate actions:

  • Companies need to decarbonize their business by lowering their emissions, and
  • Compensate for the unavoidable emissions through carbon offset programs like reforestation projects and carbon removal technologies.

But, for now, compensating for emissions is often a gamble. Forests that form the basis for carbon offsets are complicated because those forests can burn, releasing their stored carbon into the air and defeating the idea of an offset; exactly what the controversial biomass power plant Hu Honua would do if it became operational on Hawaii Island; destroying local forests and burning those trees for power generation.

Most of the technologies designed to remove carbon that’s already in the atmosphere are prohibitively expensive and not in use on any commercial scale.

A government, business or individual can attempt to balance their own emissions by finding other ways to remove an equivalent amount of greenhouse gases from the atmosphere. The process is called carbon offsetting.

David Barmes, senior economist at the campaign group Positive Money, says offsetting is the most popular form of greenwashing.  “It’s riddled with fraud and allows firms to claim they’re meeting emissions targets while they continuously pump emissions into the air.” He adds: “The whole point of offsets is to allow these corporations to keep emitting with impunity and allow governments to claim they are meeting targets.”

Altogether, these uncertainties mean carbon offsets should be marginal in corporate plans, according to the standards set by Science Based Targets (a nonprofit group that assesses corporate goals). Carbon off-sets are a key component in the majority of corporate emissions mitigation plans. A true audit would reveal most companies will only be able to rely on these tools to offset 10 percent of their emissions.

Some companies, like the ones in the fossil fuel sector and cement production plants, will need to radically change the core of their business models. There is no workaround.

Carbon reduction pledges – what are companies doing between now and 2050?

Most pledges have 2050 as their target date. That’s because of the scientific consensus that, if the world can stop adding carbon dioxide to the atmosphere by then, we should be able to hold warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius. Beyond that level, the dangers of global warming — including worsening floods, droughts, wildfires and ecosystem collapse — grow considerably.

But it’s a long way to 2050. Experts say any credible pledge should have short- and medium-term targets, too, for every five or ten years. Pratima Divgi, who heads the capital markets department for CDP North America, said interim targets were useful for many reasons, not just measuring performance. Setting and working through targets transparently is also key for shareholders and civil society to assess progress.

What companies exclude in their GHG emissions targets?

The largest share of emissions tied to a company’s business most likely happen somewhere outside that company. For example, extracting the raw materials needed to manufacture a product. Or, home delivery.

Take JBS, the world’s largest meatpacker. Emissions from their offices and slaughterhouses are only 3 percent of their total emissions, while the other 97% are tied to the thousands of farms that supply them with cattle, according to a recent analysis by the Institute of Agriculture and Trade Policy.

For banks, the difference is even more striking. Emissions from their fossil fuel investments are, on average, 700 times greater than their own.

Another example, emissions tied to supply chains are on average more than 11 times greater than the emissions of a company dependent on those the same supply chains.

Bottom line: Any net-zero company pledge that doesn’t include these emissions directly and indirectly tied to their operations or investments is not credible.

What are companies doing in the political arena to support their corporate agenda

When a company’s emissions balance sheet checks out, is that enough?   Not necessarily. Its impact on our planet’s climate can go well beyond its business, into the complex realm of politics.  It’s not uncommon for companies making bold announcements, while in the background lobbying against climate action impacting their business.

  • Last year, a watchdog group called Accountable.US found major corporations that had expressed deep concern over climate change were also backing business groups fighting climate legislation.
  • Some of America’s most prominent companies, including Apple, Amazon, Microsoft and Disney are backing business front groups fighting landmark climate legislation, despite their own promises to combat the climate crisis, the Guardian reported last year.
https://www.beyondkona.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/Greenwashing.png 1772 2560 Bill Bugbee https://www.beyondkona.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/beyond-kona-logo.png Bill Bugbee2022-05-20 06:11:132022-07-12 06:44:30Corporate Greenwashing; it's time to come clean
Big Oil

A Titan Battle: Oil versus Climate

May 19, 2022/2 Comments/in Climate, Energy & Technology /by BeyondKona
Originally published May 14,2022

New oil and gas projects would produce 646 GtCO2 emissions, swallowing up the world’s entire carbon budget

Oil and gas majors are planning scores of vast projects that threaten to shatter the 1.5C climate goal. If governments do not act, these firms will continue to cash in as the world burns.

Biomass Ghg Air Pollution 1The world’s biggest fossil fuel firms are quietly planning scores of “carbon bomb” oil and gas projects that would drive the climate past internationally agreed temperature limits with catastrophic global impacts for all humanity.

An in-depth Guardian report finds global oil and gas firms are placing multibillion-dollar bets against humanity halting global heating.  The exclusive data shows ExxonMobil, Shell, BP, Chevron and state-run fossil fuel giants Gazprom (Russia) and China’s National Petroleum Corporation are actively placing multibillion-dollar bets against humanity halting global heating. Their huge investments in new fossil fuel production could pay off only if countries fail to rapidly slash carbon emissions, which scientists say is vital.

The oil and gas industry is extremely volatile but extraordinarily profitable, particularly when prices are high, as they are at present. ExxonMobil, Shell, BP and Chevron have made almost $2tn in profits in the past three decades, while recent price rises led BP’s boss to describe the company as a “cash machine”.

The lure of colossal payouts in the years to come appears to be irresistible to the oil companies, despite the world’s climate scientists stating in February that further delay in cutting fossil fuel use would mean missing our last chance “to secure a livable and sustainable future for all”.

Experts have been warning since at least 2011 that most of the world’s fossil fuel reserves could not be burned without causing catastrophic global heating.

UN secretary general, António Guterres, warned world leaders in April: “Our addiction to fossil fuels is killing us.”

The fossil fuel industry’s short-term expansion plans involve the start of oil and gas projects that will produce greenhouse gases equivalent to a decade of CO2 emissions from China, the world’s biggest polluter.

These plans include 195 carbon bombs, gigantic oil and gas projects that would each result in at least a billion tons of CO2 emissions over their lifetimes, in total equivalent to about 18 years of current global CO2 emissions. About 60% of these new oil and gas projects have already started pumping.

The guardian reported that the 12 biggest oil companies are on track to spend over $1oo million every day for the rest of the decade on fossil fuel expansion.

Big Oil Carbon BombsThe world’s scientists agree the planet is in deep trouble. In August, Guterres reacted strongly to a stark report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, the world’s leading authority on climate science. “The IPCC report is a code red for humanity,” he said.

The IPCC states carbon emissions must fall by half by 2030 to preserve the chance of a livable future, yet they show no sign of declining.

In May 2021, a report from the International Energy Agency, previously seen as a conservative body, concluded there could be no new oil or gas fields or coalmines if the world was to reach net zero by 2050.

In April, shocked by the latest IPCC report that said it was “now or never” to start slashing emissions, Guterres launched an outspoken attack on companies and governments whose climate actions did not match their words.

“Simply put, they are lying, and the results will be catastrophic,” Guterres said. “Investing in new fossil fuels infrastructure is moral and economic madness”.  “Climate activists are sometimes depicted as dangerous radicals. But the truly dangerous radicals are the countries that are increasing the production of fossil fuels.”

The Russia Factor

The reaction to Russia’s war in Ukraine has pushed oil and gas prices even higher, further incentivizing bets on new fields and infrastructure that would last decades.

The failure of countries to “build back greener” after the Covid-19 pandemic or the 2008 financial crash was not a good omen, and Guterres said: “Fossil fuel interests are now cynically using the war in Ukraine to lock in a high-carbon future.”

Russian President Vladimir Putin decreed on May 3 that no Russian entity would be allowed to make deals with those on the sanctions list, or even fulfil its obligations under existing deals.

Moscow has imposed sanctions on the owner of the Polish part of the Yamal pipeline that carries Russian gas to Europe, as well as the former German unit of the Russian gas producer Gazprom, whose subsidiaries service Europe’s gas consumption, impacting 29 Gazprom subsidiaries in Switzerland, Hungary, Britain, France, Bulgaria, the Benelux region, the United States, Switzerland, Romania and Singapore.

The United States, and the rest of the world

The U.S. is the leading source of potential emissions. Its 22 carbon bombs include conventional drilling and fracking, and span the deep waters of the Gulf of Mexico to the foothills of the Front Range in Colorado to the Permian basin.

Together, new US project gas and oil projects have the potential to emit 140bn tons of CO2, almost four times more than the entire world emits each year.

Saudi Arabia is the second biggest potential emitter after the US, with 107bn tons, followed by Russia, Qatar, Iraq, Canada, China and Brazil.  Australia, widely condemned by international leaders as a laggard in addressing the climate crisis, ranks 16th.

Carbon bombs

The term carbon bomb has been widely used in climate circles for the past decade to describe large fossil fuel projects or other big sources of carbon. The new research sets a specific definition: projects capable of pumping at least 1bn tons of CO2 emissions over their lifetimes.

The journal, Energy Policy, found that just a few months after many of the world’s politicians positioned themselves as climate leaders during the Cop26 conference in Glasgow, they were giving the green light to a massive global expansion of oil and gas production that scientists warn would push civilization to the brink, adding that 40% of planned gas and oil projects projects that had not yet started production must be stopped if the world was to avoid sliding ever more quickly towards catastrophe, adding they should be a prominent focus of the global climate protest movement in the months and years ahead.

Tyndall Centre of Climate Research, University of Manchester and Uppsala University, Sweden, said the scale of planned production in the face of all the evidence suggested big oil and its political supporters either did not believe the climate science or thought their extreme wealth could somehow protect them and their children from the devastating consequences.

“Either the scientists have spent 30 years working on this issue and have got it all wrong – the big oil CEOs know better – or, behind a veil of concern, they have complete disregard for the more climate vulnerable communities, typically poor, people of color and far away from their lives. Equally worrying, they are disinterested in their own children’s future.”

The Oil industry, awash with cash

BP’s chief financial officer, Murray Auchincloss, described things this way… “Certainly, it’s possible that we’re getting more cash than we know what to do with. For now, I’m going to be conservative and manage the company as if it’s $40 [a barrel] oil. Anything we could get above that just helps, obviously.” At the time, the oil price exceeded $90; today it is $106.”

Ff Subsidies 2Data obtained by the Guardian from the think tank Carbon Tracker shows a dozen of the world’s biggest companies are on track to commit a collective $387 million dollars a day of capital expenditure to exploiting oil and gas fields through to 2030.  A significant portion of this capital outlay is for maintaining existing projects – some oil and gas will still be needed as the world weans itself off fossil fuels –the exact amount is not publicly available.

Nonetheless, it is clear that at least a quarter of this investment – $103m a day – is for oil and gas that cannot be burned if the worst impacts of the climate crisis are to be avoided, money that could instead be spent ramping up clean energy.

Even more worryingly, the companies have developed further project options that might lead them to spend an additional $84m a day that would not even be compatible with a devastating 2.7C of global heating.

“Companies that continue to develop projects based on business-as-usual demand are betting on the failure of policy action on climate and underestimating the disruptive potential of new technologies, such as renewables and battery storage,” said Mike Coffin at Carbon Tracker. “Such projects are either not needed or they lead to warming well in excess of Paris goals.”

A separate  analysis based on Rystad Energy data from April, and after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, found that 20 of the world’s biggest oil and gas companies remained on course to spend huge sums – $932bn – by the end of 2030 developing new oil and gas fields.

A Costly Free Ride … just got more expensive

Freeing the world from the grip of fossil fuels is made far harder by huge ongoing subsidies for the fuels, making them far cheaper than their true cost when the damage they cause is included – especially air pollution, which kills 7 million people a year.

  • The G20 group of leading economies pledged in 2009 to phase out the subsidies but little has been achieved.
  • Hundreds of billions of dollars in direct financial support is received by the producers and consumers of fossil fuels every year – but they benefit from far larger subsidies by not paying for the harm burning fossil fuels causes.
  • When the damage from the climate crisis and air pollution is accounted for, the fossil fuel subsidies reach $6tn a year, according to the International Monetary Fund (IMF).
  • The Guardian analysis shows oil and gas subsidies equivalent to $11m a minute globally, more than $1 million a minute in the United States — and American drivers complain about the high cost of fuel.
  • The US is also high on the list of the biggest per capita subsidies for all fossil fuels with $2,000 a year, behind only Saudi Arabia ($4,550) and Russia ($3,560). After these countries, only Iran ($1815) is ahead of Australia ($1730) and Canada ($1690).
  • “Taking the Paris agreement seriously requires a rapid shift away from fossil fuels,” said Simon Black, a climate economist at the IMF. “Getting fossil fuel prices right will help enormously in accelerating this transition.”

“The world is in a race against time,” said UN’s Guterres. “It’s time to end fossil fuel subsidies and stop the expansion of oil and gas exploration.”

 

 

https://www.beyondkona.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/Big-Oil.png 298 346 Bill Bugbee https://www.beyondkona.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/beyond-kona-logo.png Bill Bugbee2022-05-19 06:18:522022-05-20 14:12:37A Titan Battle: Oil versus Climate
Phytoplankton Slide

Global Heating, Plastics, Pollution, and Overfishing Threaten Marine Life

May 7, 2022/1 Comment/in Climate /by BeyondKona

Scientists warned that a failure to curb carbon emissions may result in the extinction of most marine life, an emptying of the ocean last seen 250 million years ago amid a rapidly warming climate.

Accelerating greenhouse gas emissions could “culminate in a mass extinction rivaling those of Earth’s ancient past,” stated a peer-reviewed paper published Thursday in the journal Science. The reports also concluded that rising GHG emissions may cause a catastrophe, limiting temperature rise to 2° Celsius would reduce the risk by more than 70%, according to a study in the journal Science.

The oceans already have absorbed a third of global carbon emissions and 90 percent of the excess heat created by humans.

The vast expanse and forbidding ocean depths have until recently limited scientists to only a fundamental understanding of climate changes now underway impacting the earth’s marine ecosystems.  Science, however, continues to expand the cause and effect understanding of human impacts on the planet and a greater understanding of what these changes represent to the marine creatures which call our oceans home, and also represent a significant food supply for humankind.

Not since an asteroid wiped out the dinosaurs has marine life been at such risk of extinction

The world has already warmed more than 1 degree Celsius (1.8 degrees Fahrenheit) since the preindustrial era, and last year the oceans contained more heat energy than at any point since record-keeping began six decades ago.

In a 2018 Princeton University study found, based on climate models which simulate the nearest example to today’s planetary warming, a future world similar to the late Permian Period of 250 million years ago when volcanic eruptions released huge quantities of greenhouse gases into the atmosphere.

They found ocean surface temperatures increased by more than 10° C, triggering a nearly 80% decline in marine oxygen levels. An examination of the fossil record confirmed that oxygen-depleted warming seas killed off up to 96% of marine species.

The Permian Extinction Period — a roadmap of today’s warming oceans

Global Ocean Warming1Today, ocean temperatures are rising to record highs, and correspondingly, oxygen levels are falling. “The same mechanism that would be driving species losses from human-induced climate change has been shown to have caused extinction in the geologic past,”  a recent Princeton study determined.

Many species are slowly suffocating as oxygen leaches out of the seas.

Even populations that have managed to withstand the ravages of overfishing, pollution and habitat loss are struggling to survive amid accelerating global heating from climate change.

If humanity’s greenhouse gas emissions continue to increase, roughly a third of all marine animals could vanish…

Using climate models that predict the behavior of species based on simulated organism types, The study further found that the number of  local marine disappearances of particular species, increases about 10 percent with every 1 degree Celsius of warming.

The researchers tested their models by using them to simulate a mass extinction at the end of the Permian period, when catastrophic warming triggered by volcanic eruptions wiped out roughly 90 percent of all life on Earth. Because the models successfully replicated the events of 250 million years ago, the scientists were confident in their predictions for what might happen in the foreseeable future.

Marine Life ExtinctionThe Princeton University research revealed that most animals can’t afford to lose much more than 50 percent of their habitat — beyond that number, a species tips into irreversible decline. In the worst-case emissions scenarios, the losses would be on par with the five worst mass extinctions in Earth’s history.

Cooking creatures literally within their habitat

These rising ocean temperatures are shifting the boundaries of marine creatures’ comfort zones. Many are fleeing northward in search of cooler waters, causing “extirpation” — or local disappearance — of once-common species.

The danger of warming is compounded by the fact that hotter waters start to lose dissolved oxygen — even though higher temperatures speed up the metabolisms of many marine organisms, so that they need more oxygen to live.

The ocean contains just one-sixtieth as much oxygen as the atmosphere, even less in warmer areas where water molecules are less able to keep the precious oxygen from bubbling back into the air. As global temperatures increase, that reservoir declines even further.

The heating of the sea surface also causes the ocean to stratify into distinct layers, making it harder for warmer, oxygenated waters above to mix with the cooler depths.

Deoxygenation poses one of the greatest climate threats to marine life.  Scientists have documented expanding “shadow zones” where oxygen levels are so low that most life can’t survive.

This climate-driven marine die-off is just one piece of a broader biodiversity crisis gripping the entire globe.

A recent report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change found that warming has contributed to the disappearance of at least 400 species in the world’s oceans.

The scientist found that if global temperatures increase around 4.9° C by the end of the century and continue to rise, it would trigger mass extinction on par with the end of the Permian Period.

Under a low-emissions scenario that keeps temperature rise to 2° C, scientists project that extinction rates would range from about 4% – the natural rate – to 10%.  “That’s still an awful lot of species in absolute numbers,” said Penn, noting that even absent climate change, the researchers estimated that 10% to 15% of species are at risk of extinction from the industrialization of the ocean and other human-caused threats.

Depleting global fish Stocks

Global Overfishing

“One big potential, and likely, impact will be the loss of ecosystem function in some marine ecosystems, and ecosystem cascading effects, even with only a small proportion of species lost,” said Butt, who studies the consequences of climate change on biodiversity and was not involved in the research.

For instance, the loss of a prey species could lead to declines in predators that regulate the health of marine ecosystems on which humans depend for food.

The paper noted that the regions of the ocean most vulnerable to climate-driven extinction are low-oxygen areas home to some of the world’s most productive fisheries.

“The projected impact of accelerating climate change on marine biota is profound, driving extinction risk higher and marine biological richness lower than has been seen in Earth’s history for the past tens of millions of years,” it concluded.


The Ocean is not a garbage dump or is it?

Great Pacific Garage PttchAt least 14 million tons of plastic end up in the ocean every year, and plastic makes up 80% of all marine debris found from surface waters to deep-sea sediments. Marine species ingest or are entangled by plastic debris, which causes severe injuries and death, and people in turn eat the fish contaminated by oceans laden plastics.

An estimated 8 Million tons of plastic enters our oceans every year. There are 5.25 trillion pieces of plastic waste estimated to be in our oceans. 269,000 tons float, 4 billion microfibers per km² dwell below the surface. 70% of our debris sinks into the ocean’s ecosystem, 15% floats, and 15% lands on our beaches.

Fish in the North Pacific ingest 12,000 to 24,000 tons of plastic each year, which can cause intestinal injury and death and transfers plastic up the food chain to bigger fish, marine mammals and human seafood eaters.

A separate U.N. panel has found that about 1 million additional species are at risk of extinction as a result of overexploitation, habitat destruction, pollution and other human disruption of the natural world.

In an analysis for the publication Science that accompanied Princeton report, Rutgers ecologist Alexa Fredston compared marine animals to canaries in a coal mine, alerting humanity to invisible forces — such as dangerous carbon dioxide accumulation and ocean oxygen loss — that also threaten our ability to survive.

Fredston summed things this way, “If people can take action to preserve ocean wildlife, we will wind up saving ourselves.”

https://www.beyondkona.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/10/Phytoplankton-slide.jpg 708 926 Bill Bugbee https://www.beyondkona.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/beyond-kona-logo.png Bill Bugbee2022-05-07 06:00:112022-05-07 06:56:05Global Heating, Plastics, Pollution, and Overfishing Threaten Marine Life
Water 1

Hawaii’s Fresh Water Future: the essence of life

April 16, 2022/2 Comments/in Environment /by BeyondKona

Any sustainability conversation must include water, and all of its forms and uses.  Taking this vital resource for granted has serious consequences for the future of Hawaii and its livability.  As Dr. Richard Bennett explains, “…water is the essence of life and the media upon which our world and communities are entirely dependent.”

With a focus on Hawaii Island, the authors sum things up this way… “Hawaiʻi Island has a long history of drought episodes.  We have dealt with these short-term events with various site-specific mitigations, however, any changes in how water is managed, allocated, and used, remain elusive and are often controversial.“


BeyondKona is pleased to present Richard H. Bennett Ph.D. and Rhiannon R. Tereari‘i Chandler-‘Īao, Esq. of Waiwai Ola ʻOhana, and their analysis of all things water for Hawaii…

Adding to the County of Hawaii’s Sustainability Conversation:  Water, Law, and Policy

This paper advocates for a comprehensive approach to water use policy for Hawai‘i Island.

Water resource and use policies are scattered among several county departments and agencies without requiring the policies to be congruent or coordinated.

When we discuss sustainability, we look out into our future and ask what must be sustained if the natural world, our lives, and our economy will thrive without significant external inputs of money, energy, and resources.

Any sustainability conversation must include water and all of its forms and uses. Water is the essence of life and the media upon which our world and communities are entirely dependent.

This article is a conversation starter for a more comprehensive policy discussion of our water resources, no matter the source.

Changing Climate:  There is an international scientific consensus that our climate is changing rapidly.  The changes are attributed to human activities that have added insulating gases to the earthʻs atmosphere.  How this change will impact specific locations is a matter of considerable scientific uncertainty. However, the recent historical record for Hawai‘i portends significant rainfall declines coincident with sea-level rise.

Many authors stress the issue of water resource sustainability, notably:  “Given that approximately 70% of the annual rainfall happens during the wet season, Hawaiʻi is expected to face an overall reduction in annual rainfall leading to a decline in sustainability of groundwater recharge” (Burnett and Wada, 2014).

Rainfall for the state has declined about 14% overall.

Confounding this observation are drier and wetter trends for specific communities on all islands.   Hawai’i Island’s leeward or Kona side appears to be drier than any statewide trend may suggest.  Wisdom and prudence declare that we must assume the worst-case scenario and plan accordingly.  We will be pleasantly surprised should heavier rainfall occur from year to year.  In contrast, being shocked and unprepared when protracted drought occurs might inspire emergency restrictions that serve only as band-aids.

Fresh Water:  Our water reservoir is a finite underground bubble that floats on the more dense seawater saturating the fractured rock beneath the island.  This bubble or lens is rainfall and dew dependent.   There is no underground river of fresh water that flows underground, as occurs in some states and aquifers of the mainland.

Our rainfall dependency is also confounded by the time of a rain event until that water joins the lens.   Unlike a lake reservoir, this latency of the water volume can make effective water use planning difficult and provide an illusion of water abundance. This raises the question of how best to determine the sustainable yield and limits of our water resource.

Home Water Use:  There are many options for reducing in-home water use.  Most of these are structural, such as low flow fixtures and appliances.

The most significant use of water in the home is landscape irrigation.   Plant species selection and effective irrigation management can save 30-50% of the water used outside the home. The Board of Water Supply for the City and County of Honolulu states that with the proper choices, a homeowner can save 30 to 50% of the water used on landscaping (2021 Board of Water Supply, City and County of Honolulu). This option conserves water, reduces the family water bill, and addresses multiple crucial sustainability issues.

Irrigation water conservation programs must be an essential component of any sustainability effort for Hawaii.   Water conserved for other domestic demands will be far less expensive than increasing pumping capacity, and the energy to drive that capacity, for additional water.

Home Water Use.Redirecting the best quality wastewater from sinks, showers, and washing machines can replace 30 to 40% of the water needs for landscaping. Many nations and communities in the arid parts of the world reuse water by necessity and mandate.

The challenge for Hawaii County is how best to achieve sustainable policies and water conservation education.  The Department of Water Supply is not noted for progressive water conservation policies or effective public education. A change in policy and programmatic efforts will likely require enlightened leadership and engagement from the Mayor Roth and the County Council to effect significant water conservation measures. However, the most significant impediments to greywater reuse are state and local regulations that are onerous, out-of-date and not science-based, and, in some cases, make greywater reuse illegal.

Wastewater Reuse:  Hawai‘i Island has several wastewater treatment plants.  Some are public; most are private.  By statute, our communities may have a typical sewer system into which all wastewater is combined.  Toilet water is mixed with sink, shower, and laundry water, and as such, it all becomes “Black Water.”  This water must be treated to reduce its pollutant loads and disinfected to reduce the prevalence of presumptive disease-causing microbes.  This treatment process is expensive to construct and operate.   The proper disposal of the treated wastewater is costly and especially problematic for an island in which sewer connections are more the exception than the norm.

Water inexorably flows downhill to the sea.   On the Hilo side, about 212 rivers and streams flow continuously, allowing people to see the hydrologic cycle in action.  The Wailuku River in Hilo is a dramatic example.  Its watershed is a vast mountainside.  Heavy rains create a torrent of brown water carrying dirt and fine sediments into Hilo Bay.  Less apparent are the urban drainages of the Waiākea and Wailoa rivers.  A drive through Hilo town reveals many storm drains and gutters that convey street rain runoff to these rivers and the bay.

Kona Estruary

In figure 3, Kona’s Subterranean Estuary is depicted as a model of the water flowing from land-to-sea.

There is only one storm water channel in the Kona area that drains Holualoa mauka.  Most rainfall runoff migrates underground and joins the subterranean estuary that flows under the entire Kona plain.

University of Hawaiʻi hydrologists suggest the brackish ground water flows into the sea at the rate of about 2.5 million gallons per mile of coastline, per day (Peterson 2009).

As apparent in this illustration,  all water eventually flows into the sea.  In some cases by design, and others by default, as is the case with Hawaii Island’s wastewater plant injection wells.  In both situations, the law requires all such disposal to be subject to disposal permit requirements to ensure that the nearshore waters are not impaired.

Kealakeke Wasterwater Plant North KonaThe wastewater of the Kealakehe Wastewater Treatment Plant is a glaring example of water resource mismanagement and nearshore pollution.  For over 20 years about 1.8 million gallons a day of partially treated wastewater is dumped in a pit 0.7 of a mile from Honokohau Harbor.   At least ten scientific studies document how this water flows seaward, in our subterranean estuary, polluting the harbor and the ocean.   A plan that was funded by the EPA in 1993 required the reuse of the water for irrigation.

Over 20+ years, 13 billion gallons of wastewater were indirectly dumped into the sea while government agencies looked the other way.   The water could be used today to irrigate the recreation areas at the Old Airport.  Our limited freshwater is used instead in what is nothing more than multi-agency myopia.

Water Policy:  The sustainability of our water resources is the kingpin for just about every other sustainability issue.  The County of Hawaii and the DWS (water department) must coalesce to implement a whole range of sustainable water policies and practices.  Without ample high-quality water for all, at affordable prices, sustainability becomes moot.  It is time to become proactive, pick the can up and fix these problems, rather than continue to kick the can down the road of climate resiliency.

In aggregate, storm water runoff and cesspool leachate are the most significant pollutant loads that impair the coastal ecosystem. We must also redesign our communities to manage these waters effectively. Thinking outside the box is not enough. The box itself must be redesigned.

Public Trust:  Article XI, section 1 of Hawai‘i’s Constitution establishes that “all public natural resources are held in trust by the State for the benefit of the people,” and Article XI, section 7 of Hawai‘i’s Constitution specifically references water and includes the directive “to protect, control, and regulate the use of Hawai‘i’s water resources for the benefit of its people.”  Article XI, section 7 also establishes the State Commission on Water Resource Management (Water Commission), which is currently housed within the Department of Land and Natural Resources.   As provided in our State Constitution, all of the state’s resources shall be managed in the “Public Trust.”

Today, “the people of [Hawaii] have elevated the public trust doctrine to the level of a constitutional mandate.”[1]  Pursuant to the Constitution, Water Code, and common law, the “state water resources trust” applies to “all water resources without exception or distinction.

[1] Waiāhole I, 94 Hawai‘i 97, 131, 9 P.3d 409, 443 (2000).

The counties and the legislature have largely ignored this doctrine while enacting its business.  Embracing this “Trust” will carry us effectively toward a sustainable future.

Sustainability means designing the future from the future, and nothing is more important than water.  This is the place to begin.

https://www.beyondkona.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/Water-1.png 882 1133 Bill Bugbee https://www.beyondkona.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/beyond-kona-logo.png Bill Bugbee2022-04-16 06:08:152022-04-16 08:16:38Hawaii's Fresh Water Future: the essence of life
Hu Honua Plant 1

Hu Honua: Fourteen Facts You Should Know; and more

April 2, 2022/1 Comment/in Climate, Energy & Technology /by Tawn Keeney MD, Guest Contributor

Hawaii’s Public Utility Commission is scheduled to render a decision on Hu Honua before June 30th, a decision that will likely set the course for this now idle power plant’s unsustainable and uneconomic future.

BeyondKona has provided our readers in depth coverage and expert analysis on Hu Honua; spanning three years and 17 articles (available through a site search: “Hu Honua”).  This idle, highly subsidized, and certainly controversial biomass powerplant is located in Pepeekeo, Hawaii Island.

We are fortunate to have one of our island’s community elders, Tawn Keeney MD, a notable physician and who has served his community of Honokaa for over 36 years,  share with BeyondKona and its readers his research and insights into Hu Honua: Fourteen Facts You Should Know, and more... one the most important and locally divisive issues in Hawaii Island’s recent energy history.



Hu Honua is a ‘Bioenergy’ facility, almost built, in Pepeekeo built to burn chipped whole green trees and in turn generate electricity.  Those trees are the Eucalyptus plantation in Hamakua owned by Kamehameha Schools, Parker Ranch, and the State and County managed forests in upper Waiakea and Pahala.

In the Hu Honua Power Purchase Agreement testimony before the PUC, September 2021, Hawaii’s Consumer Advocate, representing the Department of Commerce and Consumer Affairs, concluded (see excerpts) the following, “…approval of the (Hu Honua) A&R PPA (Power Purchase Agreement) does not seem reasonable or in the public interest at this time.”  and  “Otherwise, without additional justification, there are GHG emissions, environmental, health, and customer impact concerns that do not support a favorable ruling by the Commission”.

The PUC process to date has illuminated the issues and conclusions specific to Hu Honua:

1.  Burning wood (green trees) for generation of electricity is climate and environmentally destructive.

2.  The cost of electricity to the Hawaii Island ratepayer will increase significantly if Hu Honua is authorized to sell electricity to Hawaiian Electric.

3.  Authorization of Hu Honua will not add to Hawaii’s energy security or self sufficiency as after the initial timber 7 year harvest cycle, the great majority of the wood supply will be imported from Asia or the American continent — trading one of Hawaii’s imported energy fuel production dependencies for another.

4.  Bioenergy (burning green forests for electricity) is scientifically discredited and such energy stations will close due to governmental withdrawal of subsidies and support as the climate crisis overtakes the convenience of considering burning trees for ENERGY desirable.


What you need to know about Hu Honua

Fact #1 GHG Emissions:   Contrary to Hu Honua’s advertising, this facility’s energy is not ‘clean’.  Hu Honua’s Clean Air Permit from the State Department of Health designates that the facility will emit 293,000 tons of Greenhouse Gas per year.  This is approaching 1000 tons GHG per day.

 

Fact #2 Fuel Inefficiencies –  It is well known that burning chipped or pelletized green trees as fuel for generating electricity releases 1.5x more greenhouse gas than burning coal for each KWh of electricity produced.  The IPCC Greenhouse Gas Inventory (2006) identifies 1.25x greater GHG ‘in the smokestack’ emissions burning wood than coal (the dirtiest of all conventional fossil fuels) .  The ‘efficiency’ of burning wood is 26% and the efficiency of coal is 33% in generating electricity, thus calculating the 1.5x factor.

<Global Change Biology: Bioenergy 2017 Volume 9 page 361 >

 

Fact #3 Dirty Fuel – Burning wood for electricity releases 1.5x more Greenhouse Gas than burning Coal, 2.2x more GHG than burning oil, and 3x more GHG than burning natural gas, per kilowatt hour of electricity generated.

The Greenhouse Gas Analysis presented to the PUC by Hu Honua in 2019 calculates  their GHG emissions to be 1.95 tons CO2(e) per KWh electricity generated, compared with 0.91 tons for the fossil fuel stations they would be replacing, or more than twice the level of GHG emissions and pollutants Hu Honua was intended to replace in Hawaii Island fossil fuel power sources.

 

Fact #4 Trees, Not Sustainable – Hu Honua has proposed that regrowth of the trees that it has harvested will eventually re-sequester the Carbon released into the atmosphere and thereby achieve carbon neutrality.  Contemporary research (8 minute Youtube video) suggests that, following clear cut harvest of forested lands (the harvest method that would be employed by Hu Honua), in addition to the emissions of burning the trees, those harvested lands will continue to be a net emitter of CO2 into the atmosphere, resulting from release of stored soil carbon, for as long as 20 years.  Hu Honua proposes a 7 year re-harvest cycle.

In a Star Advertiser editorial, Hu Honua’s forestry contractor argued that the stumps will regrow trees as coppice and soil carbon will be preserved.  However, Kamehameha Schools, owning the majority of Hu Honua’s trees has publicly stated they will not regrow their forests.  No public commitment has been made by Parker Ranch to regrow its trees.

 

Fact #5  Emissions Impacts, not Rewards – The Government of Canada’s website < Bioenergy Greenhouse Gas Calculator > is the only internet site found which calculates the accumulated greenhouse gas over time from burning green trees for power in relation to burning coal, oil and natural gas.  It factors into its results the re-sequestration of CO2 from regrowth of harvested trees or planting new trees.

Hu Honua Vs. CoalThe Canadian government website allows designation of speed of growth of the trees and the distance of transport of harvested trees to the power generating facility. Factoring ‘fast growing trees’ and 50 kilometers (30 miles) average transport (Pahala, Waiakea Mauka and Waipio rim to Pepe’ekeo) this Calculator shows that, for Hu Honua, the accumulated Greenhouse gas from burning trees for power (including the sequestration from regrowth of trees) will be greater than burning Coal for at least 70 years (best case scenario).

 

 Fact #6 EPA on Trees for Power – Twice (in 2012 and 2019) the EPA has asked its Science Advisory Board for endorsement of its bioenergy GHG neutrality policy. The SAB on both occasions refused the request, stating the “feedstock and timeframe for carbon neutrality must be specified”. Burning harvested invasive species or wood waste from industrial processes would be carbon neutral, as otherwise the wood would decompose.

Hu Honua will be clear cutting whole Big Island green forests in an unsustainable mission to  burn trees for power. Burning green trees could, over a time frame of several decades to a century or more, be carbon neutral depending on the time to regenerate the woody mass, plus harvest and transport emissions.

https://tinyurl.com/4ttrtc8h    https://tinyurl.com/434a7ysd

Though it is not official policy, references have suggested that EPA’s timeframe reference for carbon neutrality of bioenergy is one typical life-cycle of forest trees, or approximately one hundred years. In respect to the current Climate Crisis, this timeframe reference is inappropriate.

 

Fact #7:  Not Carbon or Renewable – In order to call Bioenergy ‘renewable’ or ‘carbon neutral’ federal statute and EPA directive requires that any forest harvested for that purpose must be regrown.  It does not allow that forest can be grown someplace else, or other forested lands can be purchased to compensate for harvested forest.  Kamehameha Schools has publicly stated that the 12,000 acres of forests on their lands will not be regrown.

Thus, Hu Honua should stop calling it’s bioenergy ‘renewable’ or ‘carbon neutral’. As quoted in Pacific Business news, Warren Lee, President and CEO of Hu Honua seems to acknowledge that Hu Honua should not be considered as sourcing renewable energy.  “The plant’s purpose was to replace fossil fuel generation, not renewable energy.”, Lee recently told PBN, noting that it is not an either/or situation and both bioenergy and renewables can each play a part in diversifying the state’s overall energy portfolio mix.”

 

Fact #8:  Local Tree Sources Unsustainable – Kamehameha Schools, Hu Honua’s largest source of trees, will not regrow trees after the initial harvest, the first of 7-year harvest cycles for the 30 year contract.  No public commitment has been made to regrowth from Parker Ranch, the other large source.  No other large scale Hawaiian Islands fuel source has been identified.

DLNR has stated they will plant or ‘protect’ 100 million trees by 2030 for carbon sequestration or environmental restoration.  They will not allow harvest.  Hu Honua’s wood will come as pellets from the Americas or Asia.   ‘Bioenergy’ will not contribute to Hawaii’s ‘energy self-sufficiency’ or security.  A forest industry will not emerge.

 

Fact #9:  Ratepayers Get A Raw Deal –  Hu Honua has designated that it will sell electricity to Hawaiian Electric at $0.22 per KWh, increasing gradually to above $0.30 per KWh over the 30 year contract.  Hawaii Island’s planned and already begun large solar (with storage) installations will sell their power to Hawaiian Electric at $0.08 per KWh, approximately one third of what Hu Honua will charge.  As a result of Hu Honua, the Hawaii Island ratepayer will pay more for their electricity.

 

Fact #10:  Hawaii’s Consumer Advocate Agrees – The Consumer Advocate, representing the Department of Commerce and Consumer Affairs, testified to the PUC in September 2021 that over the 30 year life of the Hu Honua project, 58% of the electricity generation at Hu Honua would replace zero-emission renewable sources (wind, solar or geothermal) and 42% would be fossil fuels.

 

Fact #11:  Polluting Supply Chain – Hu Honua will send 5 to 6 logging trucks per hour each way from Hamakua to Pepe’ekeo or from Pahala and Waiakea through Hilo to Pepe’ekeo. That is approximately one truck (approaching 40 tons) will be sent every 11 minutes for burning trees (a truck, loaded or empty, will pass an observer every 5 to 6  minutes).  Traffic problems, road and bridge deterioration, and probably accidents will arise.

 

Fact #12:  Water Wasted or Waste Water – Hu Honua’s engineering designated that 21 million gallons per day of cooling water would be withdrawn from Hakalau Aquifer, heated to 88 degrees F, various chemicals added (primarily 45 gallons per day of descaling agent) and re-injected into the aquifer 90 ft. from the shoreline, and that transit to the ocean would take 50 days.  This calculates to 1 billion gallons (15,000 Olympic swimming pools) of heated contaminated water in the aquifer at steady state.

Because of failure of the injection wells to perform as anticipated, the depth of the wells was increased from 400 to 800 ft.

At that time the Department of Water Supply wrote a letter to the Health Department Safe Drinking Water Branch stating, “The Department of Water Supply (DWS) has concerns with respect to the Pumping and UIC permits that would allow Hu Honua to proceed with large scale (21.6 Million Gallons per day) pumping of groundwater and reinjection of that water back into the groundwater with select chemicals near DWS’ potable groundwater wells.” “DWS requests that Hu Honua be required to provide, at their expense:  1)  Groundwater modeling that includes DWS’ Pepe’ekeo groundwater sources.  2)  A determination that Hu Honua’s pumping and UIC process will not have adverse impacts on the quantity and quality of DWS’ nearby sources.  3)  A Monitoring plan for tracking water level and detecting select contaminants at DWS’ nearby sources.”  A subsequent letter reiterated those concerns and broadened stipulations.

Though Hu Honua has deepened their wells, first to 800 ft. and now to 1200 ft, no public presentation of engineering plans or the above requested modeling have been made available to the public.  Still 21 million gpd (equivalent to the basal outflow of Waipio Valley) will be pumped and heated through this facility and re-injected. The above stipulations from DWS  must be enforced and made public. The Maui Wastewater US Supreme Court ruling demands that an NPDES study be performed to ensure no deterioration of the nearshore marine environment.

 

Fact #13:  Trading Trees-for-Power Fails Original Expectations – The current drift in biomass policy and media discussions suggests, because of the reasons pointed out by the 500 scientists, that within the next several years all subsidies and RPS considerations of biomass as carbon neutral will be withdrawn.

From National Geographic, November, 2021, we find the following statement under the Tagline:  “As world leaders pledge more action on climate change, one so-called solution—burning trees for electricity—could undermine progress.”  That statement:  “In the European Union’s “Fit for 55” framework for reducing emissions by 55 percent by 2030, biomass energy is still labeled as carbon neutral. But in a report published in 2018, the U.K.’s (the world’s largest per capita user of bioenergy) Committee on Climate Change said biomass energy should be limited. The country has contracts extending subsidies through 2027, but when they end, the committee discouraged further use.”

The unfolding realities of the climate crisis will overtake the convenient economic considerations of bioenergy as Greenhouse Gas neutral.  Subsidies will be withdrawn.  This will lead to closure of most, if not all, bioenergy stations.

 

Fact #14:  A Community United in its Opposition to Hu Honua – The following public organizations are in opposition to Hawaii’s first proposed Bioenergy (green tree burning) facility, Hu Honua.

In stated opposition are

  • Sierra Club (Hawaii Chapter), Sierra Club (Moku Loa Group),
  • Surfrider Foundation, Olohana Foundation,
  • Partnership for Policy Integrity,
  • Pepeekeo Fisherman’s Association,
  • North Hawaii Action Network,
  • Na Kupuna O Moku O Keawe,
  • Life of the Land,
  • 350Hawaii,
  • Hawaii Island Citizen’s Climate Lobby,
  • Hui Aloha Aina,
  • Hawaii Alliance for Progressive Action,
  • Hawaiian Cultural Center of Hamakua, Environmental Caucus (Democratic Party of Hawaii),
  • Climate Reality Project,
  • Hawaii’s Department of Commerce and Consumer Affairs, Division of Consumer Advocacy (‘Consumer Advocate’),
  • the Democratic Party of Hawaii and more.

In May, 2018 the State Democratic Party overwhelmingly passed Resolution ENV: 2018-08: “Resolved, That The Democratic Party of Hawai’i urges the Public Utilities Commission, all elected and appointed officials of the State of Hawai’i and its various counties to withdraw support for Hu Honua Bioenergy, and any successors, which will have irreversible and deleterious consequences for the state’s coastal waters and the planet’s atmosphere;”


After years of litigation, public testimony and lawsuits… it isn’t over yet…

The Hu Honua story has been a long and winding road and exemplified by propositions, applications, questionable agreements, and certainly accompanied by a contentious multi-year history of lawsuits and hearings before Hawaii’s PUC and the state’s court system.

Life of Land’s recent intervenor submission before the PUC summed up Hu Honua’s application-to-proceed this way:

“The long and litigious history of the Hu Honua project is characterized by the competing interests of a mysterious and powerful corporate entity and those of the ratepayers and people of Hawai‘i. On one hand, Hu Honua is seeking to force through the approval of an expensive power-purchase agreement (“PPA”) for a 19th century-era wood-burning technology that will deplete and pollute Hawai‘i’s natural resources and increase the cost of electricity for the people of Hawai‘i Island, all in the name of corporate profits.

On the other hand, the HELCO ratepayers and the public interest of the people of Hawai‘i are being protected by a robust framework of environmental laws and the reasoned analysis of the Hawai‘i Public Utilities Commission. As Hawai‘i (and the world) confront the escalating climate emergency, these laws, and the agencies and entities that wield them, represent the main arbiter tasked with balancing the complex and often competing needs that constitute the “public interest.”  

We live at a time when there is no room for compromise in our fight to preserve our environment and our species.  Climate Change has become ‘Code Red’.  It is the judgment of science, our environmentalists and, slowly, leadership that burning green trees for generation of electricity is climate and environmentally destructive.


The problems of burning trees-for-power are not confined to Hawaii

The following are excerpts from a letter signed by 500 expert scientists in Feb. 2021 to leaders of the US, EU, Japan and Korea regarding Bioenergy:  See letter here.

(Please access the above link to see this entire letter and the impressive credentials of the signatories,  which includes a former chair of the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, US National medal of Science winner, President of the European Academies of Science, Lead author of 5 IPCC technical reports on bioenergy, etc.)

“The undersigned scientists and economists commend each of you for the ambitious goals you have announced for the United States, the European Union, Japan and South Korea to achieve carbon neutrality by 2050. Forest preservation and restoration should be key tools for achieving this goal and simultaneously helping to address our global biodiversity crisis. We urge you not to undermine both climate goals and the world’s biodiversity by shifting from burning fossil fuels to burning trees to generate energy.”

“In recent years, there has been a misguided move to cut down whole trees or to divert large portions of stem wood for bioenergy, releasing carbon that would otherwise stay locked up in forests.”

“The result of this additional wood harvest is a large initial increase in carbon emissions ….  As numerous studies have shown, this burning of wood will increase warming for decades to centuries. That is true even when the wood replaces coal, oil or natural gas.”

“Overall, for each kilowatt hour of heat or electricity produced, using wood initially is likely to add two to three times as much carbon to the air as using fossil fuels.”

“Government subsidies for burning wood create a double climate problem because this false solution is replacing real carbon reductions.  Companies are shifting fossil energy use to wood, which increases warming, as a substitute for shifting to solar and wind, which would truly decrease warming.”

 

https://www.beyondkona.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/Hu-Honua-plant-1.png 480 640 Bill Bugbee https://www.beyondkona.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/beyond-kona-logo.png Bill Bugbee2022-04-02 06:00:072022-04-02 07:10:21Hu Honua: Fourteen Facts You Should Know; and more
Bleached Coral

Great Barrier Reef, Widespread Bleaching; Again

March 18, 2022/0 Comments/in Climate /by BeyondKona

“What is most concerning is that this widespread bleaching is happening during a La Niña weather event, which is normally characterised by rain and cloud cover on the east coast of Australia often helping to cool waters. It shows the consistent pressure our reef is now under from global heating.”

Dead coral found at Great Barrier Reef as widespread bleaching event unfolds

“What is most concerning is that this widespread bleaching is happening during a La Niña weather event, which is normally characterized by rain and cloud cover on the east coast of Australia often helping to cool waters. It shows the consistent pressure our reef is now under from global heating.”


Dead corals are now being recorded in aerial surveys across the Great Barrier Reef in what the marine park’s chief scientist says is a widespread and serious bleaching event on the world heritage icon.   Aerial surveys have covered half of the 2,300km reef, with the worst bleaching observed in the park’s central region off Townsville, where corals on some reefs are dead and dying.   The unfolding bleaching comes ahead of a 10-day UN monitoring mission to the reef due to start on Monday.

Sixth mass bleaching event is now unfolding on the reef, adding to events in 1998, 2002, 2016, 2017 and 2020.

Bleached CoralDr David Wachenfeld, chief scientist at the Great Barrier Reef Marine Park, told Guardian Australia: “There is certainly a risk we are seeing a mass bleaching event.

Aerial surveys from helicopters that started last Saturday have revealed mild to moderate bleaching driven by rising ocean temperatures on reefs in the remote far north, with the most badly hit reefs across a 250km stretch to the north and south of Townsville.

Most reefs in that central region, between Hinchinbrook Island and Bowen, were severely bleached and there were still sections of the great barrier reef marine ecosystem not yet surveyed there.

Bleaching is considered minor if less than 10% of corals on an individual reef are bleached. Levels up to 30% are categorized as moderate, up to 60% is major and beyond that, bleaching is considered severe.

“The fact that at the very least, most reefs are severely bleached – this is a very serious event. There is no question about that. Some of the observations in that region have been of coral mortality.  “That is where the heat stress has been worst. We haven’t yet surveyed all that area, but I would expect that situation of most reefs being severely bleached would go north and south of Bowen.” Aerial surveys started while the heat stress was still building across large parts of the reef. Wachenfeld said rather than wait until the heat had peaked, the flights had started because “we are starting to see coral die.”

When a coral bleaches, the transparent flesh and white skeleton are easy to see from the air. But if it dies, the flesh begins to rot and is quickly taken over by algae which is darker in color.  “You then can’t see from the air that a living coral was there a week ago,” said Wachenfeld.

In the remote north, Wachenfeld said some reefs had not recovered from a severe 2016 bleaching event. Reports this week’s flights indicated little live coral left.  “It’s a major stress event for corals even if they don’t die from it. There is no historical record of such stress events happening so frequently.  At the moment, what we see is widespread and in some parts it is severe and that is worrying. There is no doubt about it,” Dr. Britta Schaffelke, director of Great Barrier Reef research at the Australian Institute of Marine Science, said.

Richard Leck, head of oceans at WWF Australia, said bleaching was directly attributable to global heating caused by rising greenhouse gas emissions.  “Reducing Australia’s domestic and exported emissions fast, this decade, is the main solution within our control,” he said.

The environment group released analysis on Friday showing that for Australia to be part of efforts to keep global heating to 1.5C, the country should release no more than 4bn tons of CO2 between now and mid-century.

But the analysis, carried out by scientists, said the Morrison government’s current strategy to reach net zero would release 9.6bn tons.  “We’re going to blow our emissions budget by more than double,” said Leck. Greenpeace Australia climate impacts campaigner Martin Zavan said: “This latest bleaching event has once again exposed the Morrison government’s failure to protect the Great Barrier Reef, throwing billions at band-aid measures while failing to address climate change, the biggest driver of catastrophic coral damage.”

Dr Zebedee Nicholls, one of the scientists that carried out the analysis, said: “The science is clear: the outlook for coral reefs around the world is bad at 1.5C, and their fate is all but sealed at 2C.”

Kelly O’Shanassy, chief executive of the Australian Conservation Foundation, said: “If the federal government is serious about its claim of wanting to protect the Great Barrier Reef it must rapidly phase out coal, oil and gas and stop encouraging the growth of fossil fuel industries.”

What is most concerning is that this widespread bleaching is happening during a La Niña weather event, which is normally characterized by rain and cloud cover on the east coast of Australia often helping to cool waters. It shows the consistent pressure our reef is now under from global heating.

 

https://www.beyondkona.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/03/bleached-coral.png 291 510 Bill Bugbee https://www.beyondkona.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/beyond-kona-logo.png Bill Bugbee2022-03-18 20:32:352022-03-18 20:32:35Great Barrier Reef, Widespread Bleaching; Again
Hawaii Ocean Temp Graph

New U.N. Climate Report; time’s up

February 28, 2022/1 Comment/in Climate /by BeyondKona

Five things you should know about the U.N. climate report released today

The U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change today released a sweeping report on the dangerous effects that rising global temperatures are already having — and the catastrophes that loom if humanity fails to make swift and significant cuts to planet-warming emissions.

Before spending hours poring over the more than a 3,500-page document full of devastating details, in the following you’ll discover five key take-away points and  summary findings worth your time, and understanding.

1. Some climate effects are already baked in

Humanity has pumped more than a trillion tons of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere since the late 19th century, fueling an average global temperature rise of more than 1 degree Celsius (1.8 degrees Fahrenheit) compared to preindustrial levels.
Even if those emissions were to stop tomorrow, they have already set in motion some unavoidable effects across the globe.

Fish are dying in oceans that have heated up and become more acidic. Climate disasters such as supercharged wildfires, hurricanes and floods have claimed lives and ravaged communities.

Even if humanity meets the more ambitious goal of the Paris agreement — limiting global temperature rise to 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 degrees Fahrenheit) above preindustrial levels — scientists project the demise of most coral reefs and the irreversible loss of glaciers and polar ice by the end of the century.

2. It’s not too late to prevent some of the potential suffering

Despite these irreversible effects, the report emphasizes that humanity still has time to act to stave off more suffering in the future.

In addition to mitigation, which involves making deep cuts in greenhouse gas emissions, scientists say humanity must make significant investments in adaptation, which entails coping with the consequences of a warming Earth.  For example, investments in infrastructure would reduce the damage inflicted by extreme weather. And investments in public health would prevent the spread of diseases such as malaria and dengue fever, which have flourished as the world warms and mosquitoes roam beyond their current habitats.

Scientists estimate that for every dollar spent on resilience and adaptation, countries could save at least $4 over time.

3. Warming is widening inequities between rich and poor nations

Many developing countries have released little carbon dioxide into the atmosphere, yet they are most vulnerable to the effects of the climate crisis. The report makes clear that these inequities will persist as the world warms.

Even under moderate scenarios for sea-level rise, the coastlines of most Pacific Island nations would be flooded. And under the worst-case scenario for global temperature rise, Africa — which is historically responsible for less than 3 percent of global greenhouse gas emissions — would see a 118-fold increase in exposure to extreme heat. By contrast, heat exposure in Europe would increase only fourfold.

So far, wealthy countries have failed to fulfill their promise to provide $100 billion annually to help poor nations green their economies and adapt to climate effects. Developed nations will probably face intense pressure to deliver on this pledge at the next U.N. climate summit in Egypt in November.

4. The climate crisis is intertwined with the biodiversity crisis

Global warming is already threatening plants and animals by shifting seasonal weather patterns and intensifying habitat-destroying disasters. If global temperatures rise by 2 degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit), 10 percent of all plant and animal species could face a high risk of extinction, the report says.

At 3.2 Celsius (5.8 Fahrenheit), a quarter of all salamanders could go extinct. By 4 Celsius (7.2 Fahrenheit), half of the Amazon rainforest could be lost.

5. The time to act is now

For all of the sobering statistics in the report, its overarching message is not one of hopelessness, but of urgency to act, our colleagues Brady and Sarah write.

Humanity still has a limited window to overhaul the way energy is generated, the way cities are designed and the way food is grown — changes that ultimately could save trillions of dollars and millions of lives.

“These are projections, they are not predictions,” Patrick Gonzalez, a lead author of the report and a climate scientist at the University of California at Berkeley, told our colleagues of the findings. “It’s all based on humans and our actions. The future is something we can change.”


IPCC Climate Report – Summary findings:

Even as isolated Hawaii as may be, the state cannot escape the climate change impacts reported in the IPCC report now underway.

  • Climate change has caused substantial damages, and increasingly irreversible losses, in terrestrial, freshwater and coastal and open ocean marine ecosystems (vetted report conclusion: high confidence).
  • The extent and magnitude of climate change impacts are larger than estimated in previous assessments (vetted report conclusion: high confidence).
  • Widespread deterioration of ecosystem structure and function, resilience and natural adaptive capacity, as well as shifts in seasonal timing have occurred due to climate change (vetted report conclusion: high confidence),
  • …with adverse socioeconomic consequences (vetted report conclusion: high confidence).
  • Approximately half of the species assessed globally have shifted polewards or, on land, also to higher elevations (vetted report conclusion: very high confidence).
  • Hundreds of local losses of species have been driven by increases in the magnitude of heat extremes (vetted report conclusion: high confidence),
  • …as well as mass mortality events on land and in the ocean (vetted report conclusion: very high confidence) and
  • loss of kelp forests (vetted report conclusion: high confidence).
Some of these documented losses are already irreversible, such as the first species extinctions now being driven by climate change.

Ipcc Climate Report 2022 1Ipcc Climate Report 2

https://www.beyondkona.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/Hawaii-Ocean-temp-graph.jpg 815 913 Bill Bugbee https://www.beyondkona.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/beyond-kona-logo.png Bill Bugbee2022-02-28 11:17:372022-02-28 17:32:17New U.N. Climate Report; time's up
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