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Frogs Boiling

Our Ocean’s Dire Message

August 8, 2023/0 Comments/in Climate /by BeyondKona

The world’s Oceans are the hottest they have been in recorded history, and by a wide margin. A human-driven climate crisis is to blame.  From the Atlantic to the Pacific  to Antarctica, record water temperatures are forcing scientists to grapple with how global heating is warming the oceans, often in unpredictable and extreme ways, and with implications for the entire planet.  Hawaii’s ocean thermal shield is not exempt from these global climate changes.

The average temperature of the world’s oceans spiked to 70 degrees Fahrenheit in April, the highest readings since records began.

The following NOAA graph demonstrates just how much the daily average of sea surface temperatures are now historically out of synch. The light gray lines represent each corresponding year’s ocean surface temperatures, while the dotted dark gray line represents temperature the average from 1991-2020 and the blue line is this current year rise in temperature.

Some of this year’s warmth can be attributed to El Niño, a natural climate pattern that began in July and is linked to marine heat waves. But the underlying cause of the heat is human-driven global warming.

Ocean Temp Rise1

It’s hot all over the world right now, with record heat waves searing three continents during July, which was Earth’s hottest month in recorded history. But it’s not just the current high temperatures on land that are making the oceans so hot.

Sea surface temperatures have been rising since at least the early 20th century, when humans began pumping many more greenhouse gases like carbon dioxide into the atmosphere.

Oceans have absorbed almost all of the greenhouse gases (primarily CO2) from human-driven activity, which are now fueling the planetary heat-up.

…see in the graphic below:

Ocean Temp Rise 2

Water has a much higher heat capacity than land, meaning it can absorb large amounts of energy with only a slight increase in temperature. But after many decades of cumulative heat, we’re now starting to see a big shift.

Gregory Johnson, an oceanographer at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, called this year’s temperatures “astonishing.” The oceans have “been doing us a big service by delaying global warming considerably,” he told Elena, “but it comes at a cost.”   

Cause and effect

As oceans store more heat, they expand, contributing to sea level rise. Warmer ocean temperatures also provide more fuel for tropical cyclones and other extreme weather events which Hawaii remains ill-prepared to address.  Much of the recent increase in ocean temperatures is shocking, but not unexpected, according to climate data projections and previous scientific forecasts.

It bears repeating — if we continue to pump greenhouse gases into the atmosphere at roughly our current rate, which is likely, the world’s oceans will continue to heat up unabated with escalating consequences.  July’s global average sea surface temperature falls within that expected range, though at the higher end of the temperature projections in the following graph:

Global Sea Temp Rise 3


Alarm Bells Are Ringing All Over the World

Last month, a buoy off the coast of Florida recorded a stunning reading of 101.1 degrees Fahrenheit, or just over 38 Celsius, a possible world record. And those temperatures are having an immediate and deadly effect on one of the world’s must crucial ecosystems.  An increase in temperature between one or two degrees Celsius over several weeks can force corals to expel the algae living in their tissues. The algae are what makes corals colorful, so this process is called bleaching. Algae are also the main source of energy for corals. If temperatures remain high and algae doesn’t return, the corals die.

Approximately 44% of the global ocean recently experienced marine heat waves, according to the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

Extreme water temperatures are responsible for coral bleaching and harmful algal blooms, among other impacts. One of the most notorious marine heat waves, known as “The Blob,” hit waters off North America’s west coast in the mid-2010s, decimating populations of Pacific cod, seabirds and salmon.

Marine mitigation efforts shoveling sand against an incoming tide

Between 2016 and 2017, an enormous bleaching event caused the Great Barrier Reef, the largest living structure on Earth, to lose half of its corals, at the same time, Hawaii’s prized island reef systems suffered significant coral die-off in 2016 from Hawaii Island to Kauai and beyond.  A quarter of all marine life depends on corals. Many of these species are a major source of food for millions of people, especially in poor countries. Corals also protect coasts from sea level rise, support tourism industries around the world and serve as an early warning system for other marine life.

Researchers are studying how some species are migrating to cooler environments. They’re also trying to find corals that can withstand heat stress so they can one day create tougher reefs. However, the best attempts to rehabilitate corals have met considerable obstacles and limited success as ocean temperatures continue to rise.

A key system of ocean currents could collapse this century

The mighty network of ocean currents that shapes the climate around the North Atlantic is called the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, or AMOC. The last time it slowed down, 12,800 years ago, it seems to have plunged Europe into a deep cold for over a millennium.  “There is something happening, and it’s out of the ordinary,” one scientist research said. “Something that wouldn’t have happened if it weren’t for us humans.”   
Oceans have dampened the effects of climate change for decades by absorbing most of the heat we unleashed. But now they’re sounding the alarm, loudly.

Scientific investigations are revealing just how quickly things are changing in the oceans.
Antaractic Meldown 2023A new study shows an ancient ice sheet retreated at a startling 2,000 feet per day, shedding light on how quickly ice in Antarctica could melt and raise global sea levels in today’s warming world.

In the past, one of the fastest retreat rates detected for a glacier was at Pope Glacier in West Antarctica, a smaller glacier that’s very close to the enormous Thwaites Glacier, nicknamed the “doomsday glacier” because of its relatively large melting contribution to sea level rise. During a period in 2017, based on satellite calculations, Pope Glacier retreated at a speed of about 105 feet (32 meters) per day. That’s quite fast — but still nothing like the rates of as much as 2,000 feet per day, the study found for the Eurasian ice sheet.

It’s winter in Antarctica, but sea ice isn’t forming like it should: There are about a million fewer square miles of ice than expected. “This year is really different,” one expert told our colleagues Delger Erdenesanaa and Leanne Abraham. “It’s a very sudden change.” 
Some researchers suspect that we are finally seeing the effects of the slowly but steadily warming oceans on Antarctica’s previously resilient sea ice. That ice also serves as a protective, frozen moat — shielding the continental ice sheet and its glaciers, which have already been destabilized by climate change, from the warmer ocean and the eroding force of wind and waves.
Scientists monitor ice sheet retreat rates to better estimate contributions to global sea level rise. Antarctica and Greenland have lost more than 6.4 trillion tons of ice since the 1990s, boosting global sea levels by at least 0.7 inches (17.8 millimeters). Together, the two ice sheets are responsible for more than one-third of total sea level rise.The amount of ice Antarctica loses to the ocean is one of the biggest factors in determining sea level rise.
“Sea ice is sensitive to warming temperatures — a small change from just below to just above freezing temperatures is the difference between ice and ocean. So, it is an early indicator of change in the environment,” Walt Meier, senior research scientist at the National Snow and Ice Data Center at the University of Colorado

By Sea and by Land, We Are Cooking the Planet, and Ourselves with it

July 2023 will go down as the hottest month on record across the globe, and perhaps the hottest in at least 120,000 years, according to climate scientists.

During this sweltering month for the planet, countless daily, monthly and all-time record high temperatures were reached in multiple regions, often concurrently.

Global Max Temps Summer 2023A rash of intense heat domes — zones of high pressure sprawled across the northern hemisphere — plagued Asia, southern Europe and northern Africa, North America and much of the tropics including the Caribbean. Extreme heat was even observed on several occasions across the southern hemisphere, where it is the middle of winter.

China registered an all-time high temperature for the country of 126 degrees (52.2 degrees Celsius), while the July 16 high of 128 degrees (53.3 Celsius) in Death Valley, Calif., was two degrees shy of the highest reliably measured temperature on Earth. Numerous countries surpassed 122 degrees (50 Celsius) for highs. In the Middle East, the heat index reached 152 degrees (66.7 Celsius), near the limit of human survival.

In some cases, daily heat records have been strung together into record-long streaks, including 31 straight days reaching 110 degrees (43.3 Celsius) or higher in Phoenix, 44 days at or above 100 degrees (37.8 Celsius) in El Paso and 46 straight days with a heat index over 100 degrees (37.8 Celsius) in Miami.

July is typically the hottest month of the year in the northern hemisphere. Add in a developing El Niño, the cyclical warming of the tropical Pacific Ocean that adds heat to the atmosphere, temperatures leaped to new heights in many areas. Furthermore, human-caused climate change is making heat waves more frequent, intense, larger and longer-lasting.

Since early summer, multiple heat domes have spread across large portions of the northern hemisphere, including four during July that baked the southern U.S. and northern Mexico, southern Europe and northern Africa, Asia and the Atlantic Ocean. Records for extreme warmth were set basically all over the globe, on land and over the oceans. The heat was particularly intense in East Asia, southern Europe into North Africa, Canada and America, as well as the Caribbean.
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https://www.beyondkona.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/10/Frogs-boiling.jpg 314 453 Bill Bugbee https://www.beyondkona.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/beyond-kona-logo.png Bill Bugbee2023-08-08 15:02:032023-08-10 06:45:47Our Ocean’s Dire Message
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